OpenAI's July 2026 public launch of GPT-5.6 Terra, positioned as a balanced mid-tier model delivering GPT-5.5-level performance at roughly half the cost, established the current baseline for trader expectations around future Terra iterations. The early September release of the more advanced GPT-6 Astra, which OpenAI described as a major leap in agentic capabilities and benchmarks like computer use and cybersecurity, has since shifted focus to how quickly durable tiers such as Terra might advance independently on their own cadence. Government-mandated safety reviews during the GPT-5.6 rollout and ongoing competition from models like Anthropic's Claude variants continue to influence release pacing, with traders watching for any signals on 5.7+ updates or tier-specific benchmarks amid rapid generational shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSeptember 30
70%
October 31
76%
November 30
87%
$5,445 ปริมาณ
September 30
70%
October 31
76%
November 30
87%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 9:32 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's July 2026 public launch of GPT-5.6 Terra, positioned as a balanced mid-tier model delivering GPT-5.5-level performance at roughly half the cost, established the current baseline for trader expectations around future Terra iterations. The early September release of the more advanced GPT-6 Astra, which OpenAI described as a major leap in agentic capabilities and benchmarks like computer use and cybersecurity, has since shifted focus to how quickly durable tiers such as Terra might advance independently on their own cadence. Government-mandated safety reviews during the GPT-5.6 rollout and ongoing competition from models like Anthropic's Claude variants continue to influence release pacing, with traders watching for any signals on 5.7+ updates or tier-specific benchmarks amid rapid generational shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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