NATO fighter jets, including Italian aircraft on Baltic Air Policing duties, shot down a suspected Russian Geran-type drone over Lithuania on September 15 after it crossed from Belarus, marking the first such intercept in that country’s airspace and following similar shoot-downs in Latvia and Estonia earlier in 2026. Officials cited Russian electronic warfare as a key factor pushing drones off course amid intensified Russia-Ukraine strikes, with wreckage showing explosives and debris consistent with Russian designs. These incidents have prompted heightened NATO air patrols, alerts across the Baltic region, and statements from alliance leaders linking border violations to Moscow’s ongoing campaign. Traders monitor further spillover risks tied to continued aerial exchanges and electronic jamming near NATO’s eastern flank.