Naim Qassem has served as Hezbollah secretary-general since his October 2024 election by the Shura Council, following the Israeli assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of September 2026, he remains the incumbent, delivering frequent public addresses rejecting Lebanon-Israel framework agreements on withdrawal sequencing and disarmament, while affirming the group’s loyalty to Iran and resistance posture. Key pressures include reported Israeli targeting attempts, Lebanese government negotiations in Rome, internal leadership adjustments such as the appointment of a non-cleric deputy, and the loss of Syrian logistical routes after the Assad regime’s collapse. Trader assessments of removal timing center on risks of further targeted strikes, internal Shura Council shifts amid reconstruction challenges, or escalation tied to ongoing ceasefire implementation disputes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNaim Qassem ออกมาเป็นเลขาธิการของ Hezbollah โดย...?
Naim Qassem ออกมาเป็นเลขาธิการของ Hezbollah โดย...?
$944,004 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
6%
$944,004 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
$13,894 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between December 16, 2025 and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Naim Qassem has served as Hezbollah secretary-general since his October 2024 election by the Shura Council, following the Israeli assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of September 2026, he remains the incumbent, delivering frequent public addresses rejecting Lebanon-Israel framework agreements on withdrawal sequencing and disarmament, while affirming the group’s loyalty to Iran and resistance posture. Key pressures include reported Israeli targeting attempts, Lebanese government negotiations in Rome, internal leadership adjustments such as the appointment of a non-cleric deputy, and the loss of Syrian logistical routes after the Assad regime’s collapse. Trader assessments of removal timing center on risks of further targeted strikes, internal Shura Council shifts amid reconstruction challenges, or escalation tied to ongoing ceasefire implementation disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$944,004วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between December 16, 2025 and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Naim Qassem has served as Hezbollah secretary-general since his October 2024 election by the Shura Council, following the Israeli assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of September 2026, he remains the incumbent, delivering frequent public addresses rejecting Lebanon-Israel framework agreements on withdrawal sequencing and disarmament, while affirming the group’s loyalty to Iran and resistance posture. Key pressures include reported Israeli targeting attempts, Lebanese government negotiations in Rome, internal leadership adjustments such as the appointment of a non-cleric deputy, and the loss of Syrian logistical routes after the Assad regime’s collapse. Trader assessments of removal timing center on risks of further targeted strikes, internal Shura Council shifts amid reconstruction challenges, or escalation tied to ongoing ceasefire implementation disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$944,004วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Naim Qassem has served as Hezbollah secretary-general since his October 2024 election by the Shura Council, following the Israeli assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of September 2026, he remains the incumbent, delivering frequent public addresses rejecting Lebanon-Israel framework agreements on withdrawal sequencing and disarmament, while affirming the group’s loyalty to Iran and resistance posture. Key pressures include reported Israeli targeting attempts, Lebanese government negotiations in Rome, internal leadership adjustments such as the appointment of a non-cleric deputy, and the loss of Syrian logistical routes after the Assad regime’s collapse. Trader assessments of removal timing center on risks of further targeted strikes, internal Shura Council shifts amid reconstruction challenges, or escalation tied to ongoing ceasefire implementation disputes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย