Narendra Modi’s third term as India’s prime minister, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, runs through 2029 with no constitutional term limits applying to the office. Recent statements from BJP leadership, including affirmations that Modi will contest and win again in 2029, reinforce expectations of continuity amid ongoing government activities such as infrastructure reviews and policy implementation. Opposition criticism has centered on electoral roll revisions and other issues rather than credible mechanisms for early removal, such as a viable no-confidence motion against the NDA majority. The wisdom of crowds in the prediction market reflects this institutional stability and absence of near-term catalysts. Late developments like health events or unforeseen political shifts could still alter the timeline before year-end, though none are currently evident.
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