Latest numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS show clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 25, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling after recent frontal passage. This setup favors a minimum temperature near 5°C, several degrees below the 1991–2020 average low of 9°C for the date. Model consensus across sources points to calm conditions with dew points in the low single digits, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently overnight. Minor variations in forecast cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could easily shift the exact low by 2–4°C, creating the observed market spread across bins from sub-zero to 9°C-plus while keeping implied probabilities balanced around the central outcomes. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 25?
9°C or higher 49%
3°C 34%
-1°C or below 28%
1°C 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
-1°C or below
28%
0°C
18%
1°C
25%
2°C
23%
3°C
34%
4°C
24%
5°C
18%
6°C
18%
7°C
13%
8°C
13%
9°C or higher
49%
9°C or higher 49%
3°C 34%
-1°C or below 28%
1°C 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
-1°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
0°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
1°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
2°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
3°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
4°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
5°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
9°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS show clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 25, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling after recent frontal passage. This setup favors a minimum temperature near 5°C, several degrees below the 1991–2020 average low of 9°C for the date. Model consensus across sources points to calm conditions with dew points in the low single digits, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently overnight. Minor variations in forecast cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could easily shift the exact low by 2–4°C, creating the observed market spread across bins from sub-zero to 9°C-plus while keeping implied probabilities balanced around the central outcomes. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$100วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS show clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 25, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling after recent frontal passage. This setup favors a minimum temperature near 5°C, several degrees below the 1991–2020 average low of 9°C for the date. Model consensus across sources points to calm conditions with dew points in the low single digits, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently overnight. Minor variations in forecast cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could easily shift the exact low by 2–4°C, creating the observed market spread across bins from sub-zero to 9°C-plus while keeping implied probabilities balanced around the central outcomes. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$100วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS show clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 25, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling after recent frontal passage. This setup favors a minimum temperature near 5°C, several degrees below the 1991–2020 average low of 9°C for the date. Model consensus across sources points to calm conditions with dew points in the low single digits, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently overnight. Minor variations in forecast cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could easily shift the exact low by 2–4°C, creating the observed market spread across bins from sub-zero to 9°C-plus while keeping implied probabilities balanced around the central outcomes. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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