Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight will allow radiative cooling to drive Busan's minimum temperature precisely to 17°C, aligning with the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from recent surface analyses showing dew points near 16–18°C and stable high pressure suppressing any warmer advection. Traders price in minimal uncertainty given the late-September climatology for the region and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A shift in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could raise the low by 1–2°C, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Busan on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Busan on September 23?
17°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,074 ปริมาณ
$1,074 ปริมาณ
Sep 23, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,074 ปริมาณ
$1,074 ปริมาณ
Sep 23, 2026
12°C or below
$115 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$115 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$50 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$15 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$43 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$96 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C
$246 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$45 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$15 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$115 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$220 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight will allow radiative cooling to drive Busan's minimum temperature precisely to 17°C, aligning with the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from recent surface analyses showing dew points near 16–18°C and stable high pressure suppressing any warmer advection. Traders price in minimal uncertainty given the late-September climatology for the region and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A shift in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could raise the low by 1–2°C, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,074วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight will allow radiative cooling to drive Busan's minimum temperature precisely to 17°C, aligning with the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from recent surface analyses showing dew points near 16–18°C and stable high pressure suppressing any warmer advection. Traders price in minimal uncertainty given the late-September climatology for the region and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A shift in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could raise the low by 1–2°C, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,074วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight will allow radiative cooling to drive Busan's minimum temperature precisely to 17°C, aligning with the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from recent surface analyses showing dew points near 16–18°C and stable high pressure suppressing any warmer advection. Traders price in minimal uncertainty given the late-September climatology for the region and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A shift in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could raise the low by 1–2°C, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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