Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 14 show maximum temperatures clustering around 31–32°C, with the closely matched 34.5% market odds on each reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective activity and cloud cover. Light northeasterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and a 60–70% chance of thunderstorms or showers—driven by typical late-summer subtropical instability—limit surface heating and explain why some runs peak near 30°C while clearer intervals allow brief warming to 32–34°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, and traders weigh the latest regional model consensus against potential steering patterns that could alter timing of precipitation. Official station readings from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
32°C 36%
31°C 35%
30°C 14%
33°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
35%
32°C
36%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 36%
31°C 35%
30°C 14%
33°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
35%
32°C
36%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 14 show maximum temperatures clustering around 31–32°C, with the closely matched 34.5% market odds on each reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective activity and cloud cover. Light northeasterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and a 60–70% chance of thunderstorms or showers—driven by typical late-summer subtropical instability—limit surface heating and explain why some runs peak near 30°C while clearer intervals allow brief warming to 32–34°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, and traders weigh the latest regional model consensus against potential steering patterns that could alter timing of precipitation. Official station readings from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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