Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. These stable atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity around 50–60% and surface pressures near 1021 hPa—support peak readings near or slightly above the long-term average of 21°C without strong warming or cooling influences. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 25°C and 32.5% for 24°C aligns with this model agreement, while the modest 13.5% on 26°C accounts for minor upside uncertainty in afternoon insolation or urban heat effects. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 19?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 19?
25°C 52%
24°C 33%
26°C 14%
23°C 5%
$30,088 ปริมาณ
$30,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
33%
25°C
52%
26°C
14%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 52%
24°C 33%
26°C 14%
23°C 5%
$30,088 ปริมาณ
$30,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
$2,098 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,529 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$2,397 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$5,555 ปริมาณ
33%
25°C
$5,178 ปริมาณ
52%
26°C
$7,031 ปริมาณ
14%
27°C
$2,912 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$1,841 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,247 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. These stable atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity around 50–60% and surface pressures near 1021 hPa—support peak readings near or slightly above the long-term average of 21°C without strong warming or cooling influences. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 25°C and 32.5% for 24°C aligns with this model agreement, while the modest 13.5% on 26°C accounts for minor upside uncertainty in afternoon insolation or urban heat effects. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. These stable atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity around 50–60% and surface pressures near 1021 hPa—support peak readings near or slightly above the long-term average of 21°C without strong warming or cooling influences. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 25°C and 32.5% for 24°C aligns with this model agreement, while the modest 13.5% on 26°C accounts for minor upside uncertainty in afternoon insolation or urban heat effects. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. These stable atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity around 50–60% and surface pressures near 1021 hPa—support peak readings near or slightly above the long-term average of 21°C without strong warming or cooling influences. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 25°C and 32.5% for 24°C aligns with this model agreement, while the modest 13.5% on 26°C accounts for minor upside uncertainty in afternoon insolation or urban heat effects. Updated model runs through the day will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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