Recent ensemble forecasts from major models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Paris daytime highs on September 14 clustering tightly around 27–28 °C, with light northwest winds, stable high pressure near 30.1–30.14 inHg, and mostly clear skies supporting strong solar heating after recent rain cleared. This places the market-implied odds near 41.5 % for 28 °C and 32.5 % for 27 °C because subtle differences in model timing of any lingering moisture or boundary-layer mixing can shift the afternoon peak by a single degree. Historical September averages near 22 °C underscore the anomalously warm setup, while official Météo-France updates and the next model cycles will narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 14?
28°C 48%
27°C 33%
29°C 12%
26°C 6%
ใหม่
$20,247 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,247 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
33%
28°C
48%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 48%
27°C 33%
29°C 12%
26°C 6%
ใหม่
$20,247 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,247 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$502 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$169 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$1,551 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$3,788 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C
$3,766 ปริมาณ
33%
28°C
$6,238 ปริมาณ
48%
29°C
$3,055 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$80 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$446 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Paris daytime highs on September 14 clustering tightly around 27–28 °C, with light northwest winds, stable high pressure near 30.1–30.14 inHg, and mostly clear skies supporting strong solar heating after recent rain cleared. This places the market-implied odds near 41.5 % for 28 °C and 32.5 % for 27 °C because subtle differences in model timing of any lingering moisture or boundary-layer mixing can shift the afternoon peak by a single degree. Historical September averages near 22 °C underscore the anomalously warm setup, while official Météo-France updates and the next model cycles will narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,247วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Paris daytime highs on September 14 clustering tightly around 27–28 °C, with light northwest winds, stable high pressure near 30.1–30.14 inHg, and mostly clear skies supporting strong solar heating after recent rain cleared. This places the market-implied odds near 41.5 % for 28 °C and 32.5 % for 27 °C because subtle differences in model timing of any lingering moisture or boundary-layer mixing can shift the afternoon peak by a single degree. Historical September averages near 22 °C underscore the anomalously warm setup, while official Météo-France updates and the next model cycles will narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,247วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Paris daytime highs on September 14 clustering tightly around 27–28 °C, with light northwest winds, stable high pressure near 30.1–30.14 inHg, and mostly clear skies supporting strong solar heating after recent rain cleared. This places the market-implied odds near 41.5 % for 28 °C and 32.5 % for 27 °C because subtle differences in model timing of any lingering moisture or boundary-layer mixing can shift the afternoon peak by a single degree. Historical September averages near 22 °C underscore the anomalously warm setup, while official Météo-France updates and the next model cycles will narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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