Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show persistent cloud cover, rain, and thunderstorms over Chengdu on October 5, limiting daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature near 20°C. These conditions align with typical early-autumn patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where moisture and reduced solar insolation suppress maxima below recent clear-day readings around 24–27°C. Model consensus favors highs of 19–23°C, with lower odds for warmer outcomes tied to any unexpected clearing. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance heavily, as resolution depends on official station measurements amid ongoing precipitation.