Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the strongest trader consensus in the Yilan County magistrate race at 68.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Kuomintang candidate Wu Tsung-hsien at 24 percent, Taiwan People's Party contender Chen Wan-hui at 4.2 percent, and several independents including Chang Sheng-te at 1 percent. Recent developments include KMT-TPP coordination that selected Wu over Chen following joint polling, ongoing DPP internal factional tensions with multiple local candidates registering independently, and opposition criticism of Lin’s prior state-owned enterprise board roles. These dynamics, combined with the November 28 voting date and standard local election turnout patterns, underpin the current pricing as traders weigh party machinery, coalition signals, and candidate positioning in a contest where the DPP has held the seat in recent cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛинь Го-чан 69%
У Цзунсянь 24%
Чэнь Ваньхуэй 4.2%
Чжан Шэндэ 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Линь Го-чан
69%
У Цзунсянь
24%
Чэнь Ваньхуэй
4%
Чжан Шэндэ
1%
Линь Го-чан 69%
У Цзунсянь 24%
Чэнь Ваньхуэй 4.2%
Чжан Шэндэ 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Линь Го-чан
$2,733 Объем
69%
У Цзунсянь
$3,340 Объем
24%
Чэнь Ваньхуэй
$396 Объем
4%
Чжан Шэндэ
$264 Объем
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the strongest trader consensus in the Yilan County magistrate race at 68.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Kuomintang candidate Wu Tsung-hsien at 24 percent, Taiwan People's Party contender Chen Wan-hui at 4.2 percent, and several independents including Chang Sheng-te at 1 percent. Recent developments include KMT-TPP coordination that selected Wu over Chen following joint polling, ongoing DPP internal factional tensions with multiple local candidates registering independently, and opposition criticism of Lin’s prior state-owned enterprise board roles. These dynamics, combined with the November 28 voting date and standard local election turnout patterns, underpin the current pricing as traders weigh party machinery, coalition signals, and candidate positioning in a contest where the DPP has held the seat in recent cycles.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Объем
$6,733Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the strongest trader consensus in the Yilan County magistrate race at 68.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Kuomintang candidate Wu Tsung-hsien at 24 percent, Taiwan People's Party contender Chen Wan-hui at 4.2 percent, and several independents including Chang Sheng-te at 1 percent. Recent developments include KMT-TPP coordination that selected Wu over Chen following joint polling, ongoing DPP internal factional tensions with multiple local candidates registering independently, and opposition criticism of Lin’s prior state-owned enterprise board roles. These dynamics, combined with the November 28 voting date and standard local election turnout patterns, underpin the current pricing as traders weigh party machinery, coalition signals, and candidate positioning in a contest where the DPP has held the seat in recent cycles.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$6,733Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the strongest trader consensus in the Yilan County magistrate race at 68.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Kuomintang candidate Wu Tsung-hsien at 24 percent, Taiwan People's Party contender Chen Wan-hui at 4.2 percent, and several independents including Chang Sheng-te at 1 percent. Recent developments include KMT-TPP coordination that selected Wu over Chen following joint polling, ongoing DPP internal factional tensions with multiple local candidates registering independently, and opposition criticism of Lin’s prior state-owned enterprise board roles. These dynamics, combined with the November 28 voting date and standard local election turnout patterns, underpin the current pricing as traders weigh party machinery, coalition signals, and candidate positioning in a contest where the DPP has held the seat in recent cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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