The absence of any confirmed exhibition plans continues to anchor trader consensus around an 89.5% implied probability for “No” on the Salvator Mundi’s public display by December 31, 2026. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman since its 2017 record sale, the Leonardo-attributed painting has remained in secure storage—most recently reported in a Geneva freeport—following the 2018 cancellation of its planned Louvre Abu Dhabi debut. Saudi cultural initiatives position the work as a future centerpiece for new museums tied to Vision 2030, yet construction timelines for facilities in Riyadh and Al-Ula extend well beyond year-end, with no guild-style precursors, press releases, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper signaling a late unveiling. Historical patterns of secrecy around the holding and the compressed three-month window reinforce the current market-implied odds, though any sudden official confirmation could still shift sentiment.