Recent short-term fluctuations in Elon Musk’s X activity, including multiple low-volume windows of 40-64 or fewer posts in early September 2026, have tempered expectations while keeping the market centered on the 880-959 range that matched August’s settled outcome. Traders appear to weigh Musk’s established baseline of roughly 28–30 daily posts during active stretches—driven by commentary on X platform metrics, AI developments, Tesla and SpaceX updates, and lingering political engagement—against the possibility of extended quieter periods. With the top brackets trading near parity, outcomes hinge on whether September sustains consistent engagement or experiences further news-cycle lulls before month-end resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено880-919 16%
920-959 16%
840-879 14%
760-799 14%
$39,057 Объем
$39,057 Объем
Меньше 200
<1%
200-239
<1%
240-279
<1%
280–319
<1%
320-359
<1%
360–399
<1%
400-439
<1%
440-479
<1%
480-519
<1%
520-559
<1%
560-599
<1%
600-639
2%
640-679
4%
680–719
6%
720–759
7%
760-799
14%
800-839
14%
840-879
14%
880-919
16%
920-959
16%
960-999
6%
1000-1039
6%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
4%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
2%
1200–1239
2%
1240-1279
2%
1280-1319
3%
1320-1359
2%
1360-1399
2%
1400+
3%
880-919 16%
920-959 16%
840-879 14%
760-799 14%
$39,057 Объем
$39,057 Объем
Меньше 200
<1%
200-239
<1%
240-279
<1%
280–319
<1%
320-359
<1%
360–399
<1%
400-439
<1%
440-479
<1%
480-519
<1%
520-559
<1%
560-599
<1%
600-639
2%
640-679
4%
680–719
6%
720–759
7%
760-799
14%
800-839
14%
840-879
14%
880-919
16%
920-959
16%
960-999
6%
1000-1039
6%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
4%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
2%
1200–1239
2%
1240-1279
2%
1280-1319
3%
1320-1359
2%
1360-1399
2%
1400+
3%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term fluctuations in Elon Musk’s X activity, including multiple low-volume windows of 40-64 or fewer posts in early September 2026, have tempered expectations while keeping the market centered on the 880-959 range that matched August’s settled outcome. Traders appear to weigh Musk’s established baseline of roughly 28–30 daily posts during active stretches—driven by commentary on X platform metrics, AI developments, Tesla and SpaceX updates, and lingering political engagement—against the possibility of extended quieter periods. With the top brackets trading near parity, outcomes hinge on whether September sustains consistent engagement or experiences further news-cycle lulls before month-end resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы