The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, after a second House vote of 257-25, drives the even odds. Prosecutors have presented evidence on confidential funds misuse and other articles alleging graft, unexplained wealth, and threats against President Marcos, while the defense challenges procedural issues and the Senate has debated whether the 16-vote conviction threshold of 24 senator-judges could shift due to absences or detentions. Duterte-aligned senators hold notable influence following recent leadership changes, yet the lengthy proceedings—projected into 2027 with multiple articles still ahead—leave room for shifts in alliances, rulings on evidence or vote math, or new developments that could tip the balance either toward acquittal or the required supermajority for conviction and removal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
50% вероятность
$12,516 Объем
$12,516 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
50% вероятность
$12,516 Объем
$12,516 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, after a second House vote of 257-25, drives the even odds. Prosecutors have presented evidence on confidential funds misuse and other articles alleging graft, unexplained wealth, and threats against President Marcos, while the defense challenges procedural issues and the Senate has debated whether the 16-vote conviction threshold of 24 senator-judges could shift due to absences or detentions. Duterte-aligned senators hold notable influence following recent leadership changes, yet the lengthy proceedings—projected into 2027 with multiple articles still ahead—leave room for shifts in alliances, rulings on evidence or vote math, or new developments that could tip the balance either toward acquittal or the required supermajority for conviction and removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Объем
$12,516Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, after a second House vote of 257-25, drives the even odds. Prosecutors have presented evidence on confidential funds misuse and other articles alleging graft, unexplained wealth, and threats against President Marcos, while the defense challenges procedural issues and the Senate has debated whether the 16-vote conviction threshold of 24 senator-judges could shift due to absences or detentions. Duterte-aligned senators hold notable influence following recent leadership changes, yet the lengthy proceedings—projected into 2027 with multiple articles still ahead—leave room for shifts in alliances, rulings on evidence or vote math, or new developments that could tip the balance either toward acquittal or the required supermajority for conviction and removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$12,516Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6, 2026, after a second House vote of 257-25, drives the even odds. Prosecutors have presented evidence on confidential funds misuse and other articles alleging graft, unexplained wealth, and threats against President Marcos, while the defense challenges procedural issues and the Senate has debated whether the 16-vote conviction threshold of 24 senator-judges could shift due to absences or detentions. Duterte-aligned senators hold notable influence following recent leadership changes, yet the lengthy proceedings—projected into 2027 with multiple articles still ahead—leave room for shifts in alliances, rulings on evidence or vote math, or new developments that could tip the balance either toward acquittal or the required supermajority for conviction and removal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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