Senate Republicans hold a slim majority but face persistent internal resistance to invoking the nuclear option for the legislative filibuster, despite repeated pressure from President Trump to bypass the 60-vote threshold on priorities like the SAVE America Act and government funding measures. Majority Leader John Thune has used narrower procedural changes for nominations but has stated the votes do not exist for broader reform, with multiple senators publicly opposing any alteration that could empower a future Democratic majority. Ongoing shutdown negotiations and midterm dynamics have tested caucus unity without producing the simple-majority precedent needed for most legislation. Trader consensus reflects these divisions and the Senate's historical caution against permanent rule changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$560,713 Объем
30 мар. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
6%
$560,713 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$5,751 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a slim majority but face persistent internal resistance to invoking the nuclear option for the legislative filibuster, despite repeated pressure from President Trump to bypass the 60-vote threshold on priorities like the SAVE America Act and government funding measures. Majority Leader John Thune has used narrower procedural changes for nominations but has stated the votes do not exist for broader reform, with multiple senators publicly opposing any alteration that could empower a future Democratic majority. Ongoing shutdown negotiations and midterm dynamics have tested caucus unity without producing the simple-majority precedent needed for most legislation. Trader consensus reflects these divisions and the Senate's historical caution against permanent rule changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Открытие рынка: Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$560,713Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a slim majority but face persistent internal resistance to invoking the nuclear option for the legislative filibuster, despite repeated pressure from President Trump to bypass the 60-vote threshold on priorities like the SAVE America Act and government funding measures. Majority Leader John Thune has used narrower procedural changes for nominations but has stated the votes do not exist for broader reform, with multiple senators publicly opposing any alteration that could empower a future Democratic majority. Ongoing shutdown negotiations and midterm dynamics have tested caucus unity without producing the simple-majority precedent needed for most legislation. Trader consensus reflects these divisions and the Senate's historical caution against permanent rule changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Объем
$560,713Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans hold a slim majority but face persistent internal resistance to invoking the nuclear option for the legislative filibuster, despite repeated pressure from President Trump to bypass the 60-vote threshold on priorities like the SAVE America Act and government funding measures. Majority Leader John Thune has used narrower procedural changes for nominations but has stated the votes do not exist for broader reform, with multiple senators publicly opposing any alteration that could empower a future Democratic majority. Ongoing shutdown negotiations and midterm dynamics have tested caucus unity without producing the simple-majority precedent needed for most legislation. Trader consensus reflects these divisions and the Senate's historical caution against permanent rule changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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