Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race due to his long record of statewide victories, broad appeal across party lines, and status as one of the nation's highest-rated governors, even after his approval rating fell to a four-year low of 51% in mid-2026. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist and progressive political newcomer, secured her party's nomination in a narrow August 11 primary win but trails significantly in available polling, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing Scott ahead 44% to 33%. Traders price in Scott's incumbency advantage and Vermont's two-year election cycle, where moderate Republicans have historically outperformed in general elections, while Janoo's limited prior visibility and platform emphasizing structural economic changes constrain her path. The November 3 contest remains the key upcoming event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
Победитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
$68,209 Объем
$68,209 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Фил Скотт (Р)
89%
Аманда Джану (Д)
9%
$68,209 Объем
$68,209 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Фил Скотт (Р)
$32,791 Объем
89%
Аманда Джану (Д)
$35,418 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race due to his long record of statewide victories, broad appeal across party lines, and status as one of the nation's highest-rated governors, even after his approval rating fell to a four-year low of 51% in mid-2026. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist and progressive political newcomer, secured her party's nomination in a narrow August 11 primary win but trails significantly in available polling, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing Scott ahead 44% to 33%. Traders price in Scott's incumbency advantage and Vermont's two-year election cycle, where moderate Republicans have historically outperformed in general elections, while Janoo's limited prior visibility and platform emphasizing structural economic changes constrain her path. The November 3 contest remains the key upcoming event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$68,209Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race due to his long record of statewide victories, broad appeal across party lines, and status as one of the nation's highest-rated governors, even after his approval rating fell to a four-year low of 51% in mid-2026. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist and progressive political newcomer, secured her party's nomination in a narrow August 11 primary win but trails significantly in available polling, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing Scott ahead 44% to 33%. Traders price in Scott's incumbency advantage and Vermont's two-year election cycle, where moderate Republicans have historically outperformed in general elections, while Janoo's limited prior visibility and platform emphasizing structural economic changes constrain her path. The November 3 contest remains the key upcoming event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$68,209Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race due to his long record of statewide victories, broad appeal across party lines, and status as one of the nation's highest-rated governors, even after his approval rating fell to a four-year low of 51% in mid-2026. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist and progressive political newcomer, secured her party's nomination in a narrow August 11 primary win but trails significantly in available polling, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing Scott ahead 44% to 33%. Traders price in Scott's incumbency advantage and Vermont's two-year election cycle, where moderate Republicans have historically outperformed in general elections, while Janoo's limited prior visibility and platform emphasizing structural economic changes constrain her path. The November 3 contest remains the key upcoming event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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