Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in the market because she has served as Venezuela’s interim president since January 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro and her appointment by the Supreme Court to ensure institutional continuity. She has secured U.S. recognition, sanctions relief, and energy-sector cooperation while maintaining support from the military high command and key PSUV figures, including National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez. No presidential election has been scheduled, and ongoing talks involve only select opposition factions. Potential shifts could arise from a formal transition process that includes free elections, renewed pressure from exiled opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado, internal elite realignments, or changes in U.S. policy priorities before the end of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДельси Родригес 92%
Мария Корина Мачадо 4.0%
Марко Рубио 1.4%
Нет главы государства <1%
$399,640 Объем
$399,640 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Дельси Родригес
92%
Мария Корина Мачадо
4%
Марко Рубио
1%
Нет главы государства
1%
Динора Фигера
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
<1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
Николас Мадуро
<1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
Дельси Родригес 92%
Мария Корина Мачадо 4.0%
Марко Рубио 1.4%
Нет главы государства <1%
$399,640 Объем
$399,640 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Дельси Родригес
$113,027 Объем
92%
Мария Корина Мачадо
$53,452 Объем
4%
Марко Рубио
$6,523 Объем
1%
Нет главы государства
$67,180 Объем
1%
Динора Фигера
$4,581 Объем
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
$8,389 Объем
<1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
$4,123 Объем
<1%
Дэн Кейн
$3,349 Объем
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
$42,216 Объем
<1%
Николас Мадуро
$4,407 Объем
<1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
$3,574 Объем
<1%
Дональд Трамп
$2,926 Объем
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
$68,170 Объем
<1%
Эван Пэттус
$7,309 Объем
<1%
Пит Хегсет
$3,037 Объем
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
$7,378 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in the market because she has served as Venezuela’s interim president since January 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro and her appointment by the Supreme Court to ensure institutional continuity. She has secured U.S. recognition, sanctions relief, and energy-sector cooperation while maintaining support from the military high command and key PSUV figures, including National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez. No presidential election has been scheduled, and ongoing talks involve only select opposition factions. Potential shifts could arise from a formal transition process that includes free elections, renewed pressure from exiled opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado, internal elite realignments, or changes in U.S. policy priorities before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Объем
$399,640Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in the market because she has served as Venezuela’s interim president since January 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro and her appointment by the Supreme Court to ensure institutional continuity. She has secured U.S. recognition, sanctions relief, and energy-sector cooperation while maintaining support from the military high command and key PSUV figures, including National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez. No presidential election has been scheduled, and ongoing talks involve only select opposition factions. Potential shifts could arise from a formal transition process that includes free elections, renewed pressure from exiled opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado, internal elite realignments, or changes in U.S. policy priorities before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Объем
$399,640Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in the market because she has served as Venezuela’s interim president since January 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro and her appointment by the Supreme Court to ensure institutional continuity. She has secured U.S. recognition, sanctions relief, and energy-sector cooperation while maintaining support from the military high command and key PSUV figures, including National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez. No presidential election has been scheduled, and ongoing talks involve only select opposition factions. Potential shifts could arise from a formal transition process that includes free elections, renewed pressure from exiled opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado, internal elite realignments, or changes in U.S. policy priorities before the end of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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