Recent bilateral consultations between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, along with the established US-China Board of Trade mechanism, center on reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in goods from each side, including agriculture and energy products. These talks build on the Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement truce suspending certain tariffs until November 2026 and commitments from the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing. Ongoing negotiations ahead of the September 2026 leaders' meeting in Washington, plus US pledges capping replacement tariffs at 20%, reflect sustained diplomatic momentum toward formalizing lower duties or extensions by year-end. Traders price this path as highly likely given the procedural framework and scheduled high-level engagement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено91% вероятность
$256,894 Объем
$256,894 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
91% вероятность
$256,894 Объем
$256,894 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral consultations between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, along with the established US-China Board of Trade mechanism, center on reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in goods from each side, including agriculture and energy products. These talks build on the Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement truce suspending certain tariffs until November 2026 and commitments from the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing. Ongoing negotiations ahead of the September 2026 leaders' meeting in Washington, plus US pledges capping replacement tariffs at 20%, reflect sustained diplomatic momentum toward formalizing lower duties or extensions by year-end. Traders price this path as highly likely given the procedural framework and scheduled high-level engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Объем
$256,894Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral consultations between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, along with the established US-China Board of Trade mechanism, center on reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in goods from each side, including agriculture and energy products. These talks build on the Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement truce suspending certain tariffs until November 2026 and commitments from the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing. Ongoing negotiations ahead of the September 2026 leaders' meeting in Washington, plus US pledges capping replacement tariffs at 20%, reflect sustained diplomatic momentum toward formalizing lower duties or extensions by year-end. Traders price this path as highly likely given the procedural framework and scheduled high-level engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$256,894Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent bilateral consultations between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, along with the established US-China Board of Trade mechanism, center on reciprocal tariff reductions covering roughly $30 billion in goods from each side, including agriculture and energy products. These talks build on the Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement truce suspending certain tariffs until November 2026 and commitments from the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing. Ongoing negotiations ahead of the September 2026 leaders' meeting in Washington, plus US pledges capping replacement tariffs at 20%, reflect sustained diplomatic momentum toward formalizing lower duties or extensions by year-end. Traders price this path as highly likely given the procedural framework and scheduled high-level engagement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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