United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the Tyumen Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong incumbency advantages, extensive regional organizational networks, and success in both the proportional party-list component and the 24 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside federal and neighboring regional contests, features high turnout mobilization exceeding 60 percent in many districts, building on the party's 50 percent share and 38 seats from the prior cycle. Seven parties qualified for the ballot, yet structural factors including the 5 percent threshold and limited opposition presence reinforce the frontrunner's edge. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unforeseen shifts in voter participation or late developments affecting candidate registration and ballot access.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUnited Russia 96.0%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
$4,628 Объем
$4,628 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
96%
LDPR
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 96.0%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
$4,628 Объем
$4,628 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia
$2,118 Объем
96%
LDPR
$498 Объем
1%
Communists of Russia
$319 Объем
<1%
New People
$545 Объем
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$370 Объем
<1%
CPRF
$313 Объем
<1%
A Just Russia
$465 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the Tyumen Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong incumbency advantages, extensive regional organizational networks, and success in both the proportional party-list component and the 24 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside federal and neighboring regional contests, features high turnout mobilization exceeding 60 percent in many districts, building on the party's 50 percent share and 38 seats from the prior cycle. Seven parties qualified for the ballot, yet structural factors including the 5 percent threshold and limited opposition presence reinforce the frontrunner's edge. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unforeseen shifts in voter participation or late developments affecting candidate registration and ballot access.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Объем
$4,628Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the Tyumen Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong incumbency advantages, extensive regional organizational networks, and success in both the proportional party-list component and the 24 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside federal and neighboring regional contests, features high turnout mobilization exceeding 60 percent in many districts, building on the party's 50 percent share and 38 seats from the prior cycle. Seven parties qualified for the ballot, yet structural factors including the 5 percent threshold and limited opposition presence reinforce the frontrunner's edge. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unforeseen shifts in voter participation or late developments affecting candidate registration and ballot access.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Объем
$4,628Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for the Tyumen Oblast Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong incumbency advantages, extensive regional organizational networks, and success in both the proportional party-list component and the 24 single-mandate districts under the parallel voting system. The vote, held September 18–20 alongside federal and neighboring regional contests, features high turnout mobilization exceeding 60 percent in many districts, building on the party's 50 percent share and 38 seats from the prior cycle. Seven parties qualified for the ballot, yet structural factors including the 5 percent threshold and limited opposition presence reinforce the frontrunner's edge. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unforeseen shifts in voter participation or late developments affecting candidate registration and ballot access.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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