Tyler Robinson faces aggravated murder and related charges in Utah state court for the September 2025 shooting death of Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University. Prosecutors presented DNA evidence, surveillance footage, and other forensic links during a five-day preliminary hearing that concluded in July 2026. On September 1, 2026, a judge found probable cause on all seven counts, bound the case over for trial, and kept the death penalty option available. Robinson entered not-guilty pleas, with the next scheduling hearing set for October 23, 2026. The market resolves to Yes only on a homicide conviction by July 31, 2027; traders assign a 74.5% probability to No amid standard trial uncertainties, including potential defense challenges, procedural delays, or outcomes short of a qualifying judgment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТайлера Робинсона осудили за убийство?
Да
$438,294 Объем
$438,294 Объем
Да
$438,294 Объем
$438,294 Объем
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Tyler Robinson faces aggravated murder and related charges in Utah state court for the September 2025 shooting death of Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University. Prosecutors presented DNA evidence, surveillance footage, and other forensic links during a five-day preliminary hearing that concluded in July 2026. On September 1, 2026, a judge found probable cause on all seven counts, bound the case over for trial, and kept the death penalty option available. Robinson entered not-guilty pleas, with the next scheduling hearing set for October 23, 2026. The market resolves to Yes only on a homicide conviction by July 31, 2027; traders assign a 74.5% probability to No amid standard trial uncertainties, including potential defense challenges, procedural delays, or outcomes short of a qualifying judgment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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