All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups, with recent polling averages showing margins under three points in Texas between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, in Michigan between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers, and in Maine between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson. These narrow individual spreads create wide variance across the eight possible partisan combinations, sustaining the market's split between "Other" at 50 percent and a Democratic sweep at 41.5 percent as the leading outcomes. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout patterns in battleground counties, campaign spending surges, or any candidate-specific developments before November could quickly consolidate probabilities toward one combo or another.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДемократы выигрывают все 42%
Респы Техас и Мичиган, Демы Мэн 12%
Республиканцы Техас, Демократы Мичиган и Мэн 11%
Демы Техас и Мичиган, Респы Мэн 8.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократы выигрывают все
42%
Респы Техас и Мичиган, Демы Мэн
12%
Республиканцы Техас, Демократы Мичиган и Мэн
11%
Демы Техас и Мичиган, Респы Мэн
8%
Победа республиканцев во всех округах
7%
Республиканцы Техас и Мэн, демократы Мичиган
6%
Демы Техас и Мэн, Респы Мичиган
6%
Демы Техас, Репы Мичиган и Мэн
10%
Демократы выигрывают все 42%
Респы Техас и Мичиган, Демы Мэн 12%
Республиканцы Техас, Демократы Мичиган и Мэн 11%
Демы Техас и Мичиган, Респы Мэн 8.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократы выигрывают все
$1,338 Объем
42%
Респы Техас и Мичиган, Демы Мэн
$169 Объем
12%
Республиканцы Техас, Демократы Мичиган и Мэн
$157 Объем
11%
Демы Техас и Мичиган, Респы Мэн
$116 Объем
8%
Победа республиканцев во всех округах
$131 Объем
7%
Республиканцы Техас и Мэн, демократы Мичиган
$162 Объем
6%
Демы Техас и Мэн, Респы Мичиган
$164 Объем
6%
Демы Техас, Репы Мичиган и Мэн
$119 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups, with recent polling averages showing margins under three points in Texas between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, in Michigan between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers, and in Maine between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson. These narrow individual spreads create wide variance across the eight possible partisan combinations, sustaining the market's split between "Other" at 50 percent and a Democratic sweep at 41.5 percent as the leading outcomes. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout patterns in battleground counties, campaign spending surges, or any candidate-specific developments before November could quickly consolidate probabilities toward one combo or another.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Объем
$2,356Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups, with recent polling averages showing margins under three points in Texas between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, in Michigan between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers, and in Maine between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson. These narrow individual spreads create wide variance across the eight possible partisan combinations, sustaining the market's split between "Other" at 50 percent and a Democratic sweep at 41.5 percent as the leading outcomes. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout patterns in battleground counties, campaign spending surges, or any candidate-specific developments before November could quickly consolidate probabilities toward one combo or another.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$2,356Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups, with recent polling averages showing margins under three points in Texas between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, in Michigan between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers, and in Maine between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson. These narrow individual spreads create wide variance across the eight possible partisan combinations, sustaining the market's split between "Other" at 50 percent and a Democratic sweep at 41.5 percent as the leading outcomes. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout patterns in battleground counties, campaign spending surges, or any candidate-specific developments before November could quickly consolidate probabilities toward one combo or another.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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