Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests, her decisive primary victory over U.S. Rep. John Rose and state Rep. Monty Fritts, and strong name recognition from her U.S. Senate tenure. Recent polling shows her ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the party's structural edge in an open-seat contest following term-limited Gov. Bill Lee's departure. Traders price the outcome at 95.7% for Blackburn versus 4.3% for Democratic nominee Jerri Green, reflecting broad consensus on her path to victory in a state that favored Republicans by nearly 30 points in the prior presidential election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap before November 3, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Теннесси

Марша Блэкберн (Р)
96%

Джерри Грин (Д)
4%

Марша Блэкберн (Р)
96%

Джерри Грин (Д)
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests, her decisive primary victory over U.S. Rep. John Rose and state Rep. Monty Fritts, and strong name recognition from her U.S. Senate tenure. Recent polling shows her ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the party's structural edge in an open-seat contest following term-limited Gov. Bill Lee's departure. Traders price the outcome at 95.7% for Blackburn versus 4.3% for Democratic nominee Jerri Green, reflecting broad consensus on her path to victory in a state that favored Republicans by nearly 30 points in the prior presidential election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap before November 3, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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