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icon for Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

icon for Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

дек. 31

дек. 31

$341,390 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$341,390 Объем

Polymarket

↑ $10,000

$203 Объем

3%

↑ $9,300

$9,564 Объем

4%

↑ $9,000

$78 Объем

5%

↑ $8 600

$30,614 Объем

9%

↑ $8,200

$23,827 Объем

27%

↑ $8,000

$559 Объем

47%

↓ $7,400

$0 Объем

73%

↓ $7,200

$5 Объем

52%

↓ $7,000

$343 Объем

27%

↓ $6,200

$53,694 Объем

10%

↓ $6,000

$2,970 Объем

11%

↓ $5 800

$41,870 Объем

9%

↓ $5 200

$57,241 Объем

6%

↓ $4,500

$60,371 Объем

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, amid strong year-to-date gains of roughly 12% fueled by robust corporate earnings. Technology and AI-related capital spending have driven outsized profit growth, with second-quarter beats exceeding 85% of expectations and analysts lifting full-year EPS forecasts toward $360–$375. Major banks including Barclays and HSBC have raised year-end 2026 targets to the 7,950–8,100 range on this momentum. Near-term catalysts include the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation and recent hot jobs data have markets pricing a possible rate hike from the current 3.5–3.75% funds rate target, alongside August CPI and PPI releases this week. Elevated oil prices above $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions add downside pressure, while upcoming Q3 earnings and retail sales data will test whether earnings momentum can offset policy and macro risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$341,390
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, amid strong year-to-date gains of roughly 12% fueled by robust corporate earnings. Technology and AI-related capital spending have driven outsized profit growth, with second-quarter beats exceeding 85% of expectations and analysts lifting full-year EPS forecasts toward $360–$375. Major banks including Barclays and HSBC have raised year-end 2026 targets to the 7,950–8,100 range on this momentum. Near-term catalysts include the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation and recent hot jobs data have markets pricing a possible rate hike from the current 3.5–3.75% funds rate target, alongside August CPI and PPI releases this week. Elevated oil prices above $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions add downside pressure, while upcoming Q3 earnings and retail sales data will test whether earnings momentum can offset policy and macro risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$341,390
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 19 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «↑ 7 800 $» с 100%, за ним следует «↑ $7,600» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $341.4K с момента запуска рынка Jan 6, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?», просмотри 19 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» — «↑ 7 800 $» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «↑ $7,600» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.