Strong second-quarter earnings growth, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and broad revenue gains led by technology and AI spending, underpins the market-implied odds favoring closes above $7,000 at end-2026. The index currently trades near 7,636 after a modest pullback amid oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel and 10-year Treasury yields rising to multi-year highs, reflecting supply-driven inflation pressures and a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance under Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets currently price in roughly 60% odds of a September rate hike, tempering expectations despite resilient labor data and upward revisions to full-year EPS forecasts. Upcoming CPI and FOMC decisions represent key near-term catalysts that could shift positioning around the $7,500–$8,000 range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
Что закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
>$8,000 44%
$7,000–$7,500 23%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$6,500–$7,000 12%
$41,636 Объем
$41,636 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
7%
$6,000–$6,500
7%
$6,500–$7,000
12%
$7,000–$7,500
23%
$7,500–$8,000
23%
>$8,000
38%
>$8,000 44%
$7,000–$7,500 23%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$6,500–$7,000 12%
$41,636 Объем
$41,636 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
$21,150 Объем
7%
$6,000–$6,500
$2,365 Объем
7%
$6,500–$7,000
$4,578 Объем
12%
$7,000–$7,500
$2,746 Объем
23%
$7,500–$8,000
$4,293 Объем
23%
>$8,000
$6,504 Объем
38%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong second-quarter earnings growth, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and broad revenue gains led by technology and AI spending, underpins the market-implied odds favoring closes above $7,000 at end-2026. The index currently trades near 7,636 after a modest pullback amid oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel and 10-year Treasury yields rising to multi-year highs, reflecting supply-driven inflation pressures and a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance under Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets currently price in roughly 60% odds of a September rate hike, tempering expectations despite resilient labor data and upward revisions to full-year EPS forecasts. Upcoming CPI and FOMC decisions represent key near-term catalysts that could shift positioning around the $7,500–$8,000 range.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Объем
$41,636Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong second-quarter earnings growth, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and broad revenue gains led by technology and AI spending, underpins the market-implied odds favoring closes above $7,000 at end-2026. The index currently trades near 7,636 after a modest pullback amid oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel and 10-year Treasury yields rising to multi-year highs, reflecting supply-driven inflation pressures and a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance under Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets currently price in roughly 60% odds of a September rate hike, tempering expectations despite resilient labor data and upward revisions to full-year EPS forecasts. Upcoming CPI and FOMC decisions represent key near-term catalysts that could shift positioning around the $7,500–$8,000 range.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$41,636Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Strong second-quarter earnings growth, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and broad revenue gains led by technology and AI spending, underpins the market-implied odds favoring closes above $7,000 at end-2026. The index currently trades near 7,636 after a modest pullback amid oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel and 10-year Treasury yields rising to multi-year highs, reflecting supply-driven inflation pressures and a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance under Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets currently price in roughly 60% odds of a September rate hike, tempering expectations despite resilient labor data and upward revisions to full-year EPS forecasts. Upcoming CPI and FOMC decisions represent key near-term catalysts that could shift positioning around the $7,500–$8,000 range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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