**Trader sentiment overwhelmingly favors "Onslaught" opening below $2 million domestically (98.2% implied probability) due to its soft tracking, modest platforming, and muted audience response.** The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 in roughly 1,918 theaters to a dismal $982 per-theater average, posting an estimated $1.88 million weekend. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore have limited word-of-mouth, while the film competes directly against the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” juggernaut during a low-attendance Labor Day frame. A24’s genre positioning and the $15 million budget further temper expectations for breakout performance. An upset into the $2–3 million range would require unusually strong holdover legs or a late surge in awareness, scenarios that appear unlikely given current per-screen results and audience metrics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОткрытие кассы выходного дня «Натиск»
Открытие кассы выходного дня «Натиск»
<2 млн 98.2%
2–3 млн <1%
3-4 млн <1%
4–5 млн <1%
$33,526 Объем
$33,526 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<2 млн
98%
2–3 млн
1%
3-4 млн
<1%
4–5 млн
<1%
5-6 млн
<1%
6 млн+
<1%
<2 млн 98.2%
2–3 млн <1%
3-4 млн <1%
4–5 млн <1%
$33,526 Объем
$33,526 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<2 млн
$13,070 Объем
98%
2–3 млн
$8,642 Объем
1%
3-4 млн
$6,709 Объем
<1%
4–5 млн
$2,499 Объем
<1%
5-6 млн
$1,444 Объем
<1%
6 млн+
$1,161 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment overwhelmingly favors "Onslaught" opening below $2 million domestically (98.2% implied probability) due to its soft tracking, modest platforming, and muted audience response.**
The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 in roughly 1,918 theaters to a dismal $982 per-theater average, posting an estimated $1.88 million weekend. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore have limited word-of-mouth, while the film competes directly against the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” juggernaut during a low-attendance Labor Day frame. A24’s genre positioning and the $15 million budget further temper expectations for breakout performance.
An upset into the $2–3 million range would require unusually strong holdover legs or a late surge in awareness, scenarios that appear unlikely given current per-screen results and audience metrics.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Объем
$33,526Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment overwhelmingly favors "Onslaught" opening below $2 million domestically (98.2% implied probability) due to its soft tracking, modest platforming, and muted audience response.**
The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 in roughly 1,918 theaters to a dismal $982 per-theater average, posting an estimated $1.88 million weekend. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore have limited word-of-mouth, while the film competes directly against the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” juggernaut during a low-attendance Labor Day frame. A24’s genre positioning and the $15 million budget further temper expectations for breakout performance.
An upset into the $2–3 million range would require unusually strong holdover legs or a late surge in awareness, scenarios that appear unlikely given current per-screen results and audience metrics.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$33,526Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment overwhelmingly favors "Onslaught" opening below $2 million domestically (98.2% implied probability) due to its soft tracking, modest platforming, and muted audience response.** The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 in roughly 1,918 theaters to a dismal $982 per-theater average, posting an estimated $1.88 million weekend. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore have limited word-of-mouth, while the film competes directly against the dominant “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” juggernaut during a low-attendance Labor Day frame. A24’s genre positioning and the $15 million budget further temper expectations for breakout performance. An upset into the $2–3 million range would require unusually strong holdover legs or a late surge in awareness, scenarios that appear unlikely given current per-screen results and audience metrics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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