Nvidia's dominance in AI accelerators, fueled by surging data center demand for its Blackwell GPUs and large language model training workloads, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around $5T–$6.5T for its end-2026 capitalization. Hyperscalers' custom chip efforts and competition from AMD and Intel create meaningful downside risks, while strong recent revenue growth and AI infrastructure spending support the upper range. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential export restrictions and macroeconomic headwinds, with upcoming earnings and major model releases likely to shift sentiment in the coming months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$5,50–$6,00 трлн 19%
$5,00–$5,50 трлн 18%
$6,50 трлн+ 16%
$6,00–$6,50 трлн 16%
$13,457 Объем
$13,457 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $4,00 трлн
6%
$4,00–$4,50 трлн
8%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
15%
$5,00–$5,50 трлн
18%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн
19%
$6,00–$6,50 трлн
16%
$6,50 трлн+
16%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн 19%
$5,00–$5,50 трлн 18%
$6,50 трлн+ 16%
$6,00–$6,50 трлн 16%
$13,457 Объем
$13,457 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $4,00 трлн
$3,033 Объем
6%
$4,00–$4,50 трлн
$904 Объем
8%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
$923 Объем
15%
$5,00–$5,50 трлн
$2,174 Объем
18%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн
$3,407 Объем
19%
$6,00–$6,50 трлн
$1,297 Объем
16%
$6,50 трлн+
$1,719 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's dominance in AI accelerators, fueled by surging data center demand for its Blackwell GPUs and large language model training workloads, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around $5T–$6.5T for its end-2026 capitalization. Hyperscalers' custom chip efforts and competition from AMD and Intel create meaningful downside risks, while strong recent revenue growth and AI infrastructure spending support the upper range. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential export restrictions and macroeconomic headwinds, with upcoming earnings and major model releases likely to shift sentiment in the coming months.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Объем
$13,457Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's dominance in AI accelerators, fueled by surging data center demand for its Blackwell GPUs and large language model training workloads, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around $5T–$6.5T for its end-2026 capitalization. Hyperscalers' custom chip efforts and competition from AMD and Intel create meaningful downside risks, while strong recent revenue growth and AI infrastructure spending support the upper range. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential export restrictions and macroeconomic headwinds, with upcoming earnings and major model releases likely to shift sentiment in the coming months.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Объем
$13,457Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia's dominance in AI accelerators, fueled by surging data center demand for its Blackwell GPUs and large language model training workloads, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around $5T–$6.5T for its end-2026 capitalization. Hyperscalers' custom chip efforts and competition from AMD and Intel create meaningful downside risks, while strong recent revenue growth and AI infrastructure spending support the upper range. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential export restrictions and macroeconomic headwinds, with upcoming earnings and major model releases likely to shift sentiment in the coming months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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