Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in trader consensus. The district's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a D+32 partisan voting index, underpins her advantage. Omar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80% in the August 11 primary against four challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel prevailed in a lower-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and fundraising disparities make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-05
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-05
$49,924 Объем
$49,924 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ильхан Омар (Д)
97%
Джон Нагель (Р)
3%
$49,924 Объем
$49,924 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ильхан Омар (Д)
$18,256 Объем
97%
Джон Нагель (Р)
$31,668 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in trader consensus. The district's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a D+32 partisan voting index, underpins her advantage. Omar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80% in the August 11 primary against four challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel prevailed in a lower-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and fundraising disparities make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$49,924Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in trader consensus. The district's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a D+32 partisan voting index, underpins her advantage. Omar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80% in the August 11 primary against four challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel prevailed in a lower-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and fundraising disparities make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$49,924Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in trader consensus. The district's strong Democratic lean, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a D+32 partisan voting index, underpins her advantage. Omar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80% in the August 11 primary against four challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel prevailed in a lower-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and fundraising disparities make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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