Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent legislator representing Kinmen, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, county magistrate race. Recent KMT-commissioned polling shows her at 45.4% support against a fragmented field of six independents, with the nearest rival, former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang, at 10.7% and all others below 4%. Party unification after former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew strengthened her position, while the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party candidate and her established local profile on cross-strait ties, long-term care, and economic development have consolidated backing. Trader consensus at 95% reflects this sustained polling advantage and vote-splitting among opponents, though shifts among the large undecided share or late developments could still alter the outcome before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧэнь Юйжэнь 95%
Ли Вэньлян 3.1%
Лян Вэньтао 1.2%
Ян Чэну <1%
$11,437 Объем
$11,437 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Юйжэнь
95%
Ли Вэньлян
3%
Лян Вэньтао
1%
Ян Чэну
1%
Чэнь Юйжэнь 95%
Ли Вэньлян 3.1%
Лян Вэньтао 1.2%
Ян Чэну <1%
$11,437 Объем
$11,437 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Юйжэнь
$10,043 Объем
95%
Ли Вэньлян
$498 Объем
3%
Лян Вэньтао
$309 Объем
1%
Ян Чэну
$587 Объем
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent legislator representing Kinmen, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, county magistrate race. Recent KMT-commissioned polling shows her at 45.4% support against a fragmented field of six independents, with the nearest rival, former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang, at 10.7% and all others below 4%. Party unification after former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew strengthened her position, while the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party candidate and her established local profile on cross-strait ties, long-term care, and economic development have consolidated backing. Trader consensus at 95% reflects this sustained polling advantage and vote-splitting among opponents, though shifts among the large undecided share or late developments could still alter the outcome before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Объем
$11,437Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent legislator representing Kinmen, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, county magistrate race. Recent KMT-commissioned polling shows her at 45.4% support against a fragmented field of six independents, with the nearest rival, former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang, at 10.7% and all others below 4%. Party unification after former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew strengthened her position, while the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party candidate and her established local profile on cross-strait ties, long-term care, and economic development have consolidated backing. Trader consensus at 95% reflects this sustained polling advantage and vote-splitting among opponents, though shifts among the large undecided share or late developments could still alter the outcome before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$11,437Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent legislator representing Kinmen, holds a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, county magistrate race. Recent KMT-commissioned polling shows her at 45.4% support against a fragmented field of six independents, with the nearest rival, former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang, at 10.7% and all others below 4%. Party unification after former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew strengthened her position, while the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party candidate and her established local profile on cross-strait ties, long-term care, and economic development have consolidated backing. Trader consensus at 95% reflects this sustained polling advantage and vote-splitting among opponents, though shifts among the large undecided share or late developments could still alter the outcome before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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