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icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзяи

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзяи

icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзяи

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзяи

Цай И-юй 91%

У Пинь-жуй 9%

Цай Сунъи <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Цай И-юй 91%

У Пинь-жуй 9%

Цай Сунъи <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Цай И-юй

Цай И-юй

$2,060 Объем

91%

icon for У Пинь-жуй

У Пинь-жуй

$2,877 Объем

9%

icon for Цай Сунъи

Цай Сунъи

$622 Объем

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds a commanding lead in the Chiayi County magistrate race due to the Democratic Progressive Party's entrenched organizational strength and unified backing after his decisive primary win over rival Huang Jung-li. As the DPP nominee and sitting legislator, he benefits from continuity with popular outgoing magistrate Weng Chang-liang's record on infrastructure, debt reduction, and industrial development in areas like the Chiayi Science Park. The main challenger, independent Wu Pin-jui backed by the Kuomintang and other opposition groups, faces structural headwinds in a county where DPP candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics ahead of the November 28 vote, though late developments such as turnout shifts among rural voters, candidate-specific controversies, or coordinated opposition mobilization could still narrow the margin.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$5,559
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds a commanding lead in the Chiayi County magistrate race due to the Democratic Progressive Party's entrenched organizational strength and unified backing after his decisive primary win over rival Huang Jung-li. As the DPP nominee and sitting legislator, he benefits from continuity with popular outgoing magistrate Weng Chang-liang's record on infrastructure, debt reduction, and industrial development in areas like the Chiayi Science Park. The main challenger, independent Wu Pin-jui backed by the Kuomintang and other opposition groups, faces structural headwinds in a county where DPP candidates have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics ahead of the November 28 vote, though late developments such as turnout shifts among rural voters, candidate-specific controversies, or coordinated opposition mobilization could still narrow the margin.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$5,559
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзяи» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Цай И-юй» с 91%, за ним следует «У Пинь-жуй» с 9%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 91¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзяи» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзяи», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзяи» — «Цай И-юй» с 91%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Следующий ближайший исход — «У Пинь-жуй» с 9%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзяи» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.