Traders assign a 97.5% probability that James Comey will not receive a prison sentence in 2026, reflecting the timeline and procedural posture of his pending federal cases. The April 2026 North Carolina indictment charging threats tied to a 2025 social media post faces arraignment later this month and trial in October, with defense motions seeking dismissal on First Amendment and selective-prosecution grounds plus a recent request to continue proceedings into 2027. An earlier Virginia indictment for false statements to Congress was dismissed in 2025 over an unlawfully appointed prosecutor, and a September 2026 appellate hearing signaled skepticism toward revival. Even a rapid conviction would likely push sentencing past year-end given standard federal scheduling, appeals, and institutional practices for high-profile matters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
3% вероятность
$159,309 Объем
$159,309 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
3% вероятность
$159,309 Объем
$159,309 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 97.5% probability that James Comey will not receive a prison sentence in 2026, reflecting the timeline and procedural posture of his pending federal cases. The April 2026 North Carolina indictment charging threats tied to a 2025 social media post faces arraignment later this month and trial in October, with defense motions seeking dismissal on First Amendment and selective-prosecution grounds plus a recent request to continue proceedings into 2027. An earlier Virginia indictment for false statements to Congress was dismissed in 2025 over an unlawfully appointed prosecutor, and a September 2026 appellate hearing signaled skepticism toward revival. Even a rapid conviction would likely push sentencing past year-end given standard federal scheduling, appeals, and institutional practices for high-profile matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Объем
$159,309Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 97.5% probability that James Comey will not receive a prison sentence in 2026, reflecting the timeline and procedural posture of his pending federal cases. The April 2026 North Carolina indictment charging threats tied to a 2025 social media post faces arraignment later this month and trial in October, with defense motions seeking dismissal on First Amendment and selective-prosecution grounds plus a recent request to continue proceedings into 2027. An earlier Virginia indictment for false statements to Congress was dismissed in 2025 over an unlawfully appointed prosecutor, and a September 2026 appellate hearing signaled skepticism toward revival. Even a rapid conviction would likely push sentencing past year-end given standard federal scheduling, appeals, and institutional practices for high-profile matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$159,309Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 97.5% probability that James Comey will not receive a prison sentence in 2026, reflecting the timeline and procedural posture of his pending federal cases. The April 2026 North Carolina indictment charging threats tied to a 2025 social media post faces arraignment later this month and trial in October, with defense motions seeking dismissal on First Amendment and selective-prosecution grounds plus a recent request to continue proceedings into 2027. An earlier Virginia indictment for false statements to Congress was dismissed in 2025 over an unlawfully appointed prosecutor, and a September 2026 appellate hearing signaled skepticism toward revival. Even a rapid conviction would likely push sentencing past year-end given standard federal scheduling, appeals, and institutional practices for high-profile matters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы