Skip to main content

Чтобы торговать в США, перейдите на polymarket.us

icon for Против скольких разных стран США проведут военные действия в 2026 году?
Мир·Strike

Против скольких разных стран США проведут военные действия в 2026 году?

icon for Против скольких разных стран США проведут военные действия в 2026 году?
Мир·Strike

Против скольких разных стран США проведут военные действия в 2026 году?

8 65.2%

9 30.3%

10 2.4%

11 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,707,031 Объем

8 65.2%

9 30.3%

10 2.4%

11 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,707,031 Объем

icon for 8

8

$320,445 Объем

65%

icon for 9

9

$122,787 Объем

30%

icon for 10

10

$30,732 Объем

2%

icon for 11

11

$29,710 Объем

2%

icon for 12

12

$50,199 Объем

1%

icon for 13

13

$103,733 Объем

1%

icon for 14

14

$152,420 Объем

<1%

icon for 15+

15+

$130,852 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on 8 or 9 countries for US military strikes on foreign ground territory in 2026, with 8 priced at 65.2% and 9 at 30.1%.** This positioning reflects confirmed 2026 operations including major strikes on Iran under Operation Epic Fury, the January raid and related actions in Venezuela, joint operations and strikes in Ecuador, sustained counterterrorism strikes in Somalia, and additional actions reported in Syria, Iraq, Nigeria, and Yemen. Ongoing vessel interdictions in international waters under Operation Southern Spear do not count toward the tally, while potential land expansions in Colombia or other partners remain limited or unconfirmed as direct US strikes on sovereign territory. With roughly three months left in the year and no major new escalations reported since mid-2026, markets price limited further additions as the most probable path, keeping outcomes above 10 at under 5% combined. Resolution depends on verified strikes impacting ground territory through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,707,031
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on 8 or 9 countries for US military strikes on foreign ground territory in 2026, with 8 priced at 65.2% and 9 at 30.1%.** This positioning reflects confirmed 2026 operations including major strikes on Iran under Operation Epic Fury, the January raid and related actions in Venezuela, joint operations and strikes in Ecuador, sustained counterterrorism strikes in Somalia, and additional actions reported in Syria, Iraq, Nigeria, and Yemen. Ongoing vessel interdictions in international waters under Operation Southern Spear do not count toward the tally, while potential land expansions in Colombia or other partners remain limited or unconfirmed as direct US strikes on sovereign territory. With roughly three months left in the year and no major new escalations reported since mid-2026, markets price limited further additions as the most probable path, keeping outcomes above 10 at under 5% combined. Resolution depends on verified strikes impacting ground territory through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,707,031
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Ударит ли Израиль по 4 странам в 2026 году?

Ударит ли Израиль по 4 странам в 2026 году?

76%
Да
icon for Американский удар по Кубе до 31 декабря?

Американский удар по Кубе до 31 декабря?

14%
Да
icon for Удар США по Мексике до 31 декабря?

Удар США по Мексике до 31 декабря?

10%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Против скольких разных стран США проведут военные действия в 2026 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «8» с 65%, за ним следует «9» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 65¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Против скольких разных стран США проведут военные действия в 2026 году?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.7 million с момента запуска рынка Nov 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Против скольких разных стран США проведут военные действия в 2026 году?», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Против скольких разных стран США проведут военные действия в 2026 году?» — «8» с 65%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Следующий ближайший исход — «9» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Против скольких разных стран США проведут военные действия в 2026 году?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.