Northeast winds of 15-25 mph under high pressure and mostly sunny skies are limiting daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature in NYC aligned with National Weather Service guidance for an upper-60s high. Model consensus and recent observations show afternoon peaks near 66-67°F after morning readings in the low-to-mid 50s, well below the late-September climatological average of 73°F. This pattern favors the market-leading 66-67°F bin at 63% implied probability, with limited upside risk from the breezy, stable air mass; cooler or slightly warmer outcomes hinge on minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind strength ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 24 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 24 сентября?
66-67°F 63%
68-69°F 17%
64-65°F 17%
70-71°F 2%
$24,257 Объем
$24,257 Объем
24 сент. 2026 г.
57°F или ниже
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
63%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F или выше
<1%
66-67°F 63%
68-69°F 17%
64-65°F 17%
70-71°F 2%
$24,257 Объем
$24,257 Объем
24 сент. 2026 г.
57°F или ниже
$95 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$105 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$1,675 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$1,536 Объем
2%
64-65°F
$4,246 Объем
17%
66-67°F
$6,234 Объем
63%
68-69°F
$4,996 Объем
17%
70-71°F
$3,123 Объем
2%
72-73°F
$1,452 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$699 Объем
<1%
76°F или выше
$95 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds of 15-25 mph under high pressure and mostly sunny skies are limiting daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature in NYC aligned with National Weather Service guidance for an upper-60s high. Model consensus and recent observations show afternoon peaks near 66-67°F after morning readings in the low-to-mid 50s, well below the late-September climatological average of 73°F. This pattern favors the market-leading 66-67°F bin at 63% implied probability, with limited upside risk from the breezy, stable air mass; cooler or slightly warmer outcomes hinge on minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind strength ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$24,257Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds of 15-25 mph under high pressure and mostly sunny skies are limiting daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature in NYC aligned with National Weather Service guidance for an upper-60s high. Model consensus and recent observations show afternoon peaks near 66-67°F after morning readings in the low-to-mid 50s, well below the late-September climatological average of 73°F. This pattern favors the market-leading 66-67°F bin at 63% implied probability, with limited upside risk from the breezy, stable air mass; cooler or slightly warmer outcomes hinge on minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind strength ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$24,257Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Northeast winds of 15-25 mph under high pressure and mostly sunny skies are limiting daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature in NYC aligned with National Weather Service guidance for an upper-60s high. Model consensus and recent observations show afternoon peaks near 66-67°F after morning readings in the low-to-mid 50s, well below the late-September climatological average of 73°F. This pattern favors the market-leading 66-67°F bin at 63% implied probability, with limited upside risk from the breezy, stable air mass; cooler or slightly warmer outcomes hinge on minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind strength ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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