Traders have converged on 17°C as the implied daily maximum for Munich on September 22, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations and forecast verification from multiple numerical models showing a peak near that threshold under mostly sunny skies and light southeasterly flow. This value sits slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.8°C, consistent with a cooler-than-normal air mass advecting across southern Germany. Official station data, such as from Munich-Nymphenburg, align with ensemble outputs from sources including Open-Meteo and GFS runs, which resolved the high in the 16–17°C range with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require a late-day warming spike or station-specific measurement discrepancy exceeding typical observational uncertainty of ±0.5°C, though current conditions make significant revision improbable before final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 22 сентября?
17°C 100.0%
13°C или ниже <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$59,714 Объем
$59,714 Объем
13°C или ниже
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Да
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C или выше
Нет
17°C 100.0%
13°C или ниже <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$59,714 Объем
$59,714 Объем
13°C или ниже
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Да
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Traders have converged on 17°C as the implied daily maximum for Munich on September 22, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations and forecast verification from multiple numerical models showing a peak near that threshold under mostly sunny skies and light southeasterly flow. This value sits slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.8°C, consistent with a cooler-than-normal air mass advecting across southern Germany. Official station data, such as from Munich-Nymphenburg, align with ensemble outputs from sources including Open-Meteo and GFS runs, which resolved the high in the 16–17°C range with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require a late-day warming spike or station-specific measurement discrepancy exceeding typical observational uncertainty of ±0.5°C, though current conditions make significant revision improbable before final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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