Rick Allen’s strong position as the five-term Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District drives the current market consensus, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and Partisan Voter Index rating around R+7. Allen secured his primary nomination with over 83% of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith, a former Grovetown city council member and Army veteran, emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory factors such as turnout patterns or shifting voter blocs in the Augusta-to-Statesboro region. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks, aligning trader probabilities with the district’s historical results and structural advantages for the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-12
$35,616 Объем
$35,616 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рик Аллен (Р)
90%
Серетта Смит (Д)
9%
$35,616 Объем
$35,616 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рик Аллен (Р)
$19,155 Объем
90%
Серетта Смит (Д)
$16,461 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Allen’s strong position as the five-term Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District drives the current market consensus, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and Partisan Voter Index rating around R+7. Allen secured his primary nomination with over 83% of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith, a former Grovetown city council member and Army veteran, emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory factors such as turnout patterns or shifting voter blocs in the Augusta-to-Statesboro region. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks, aligning trader probabilities with the district’s historical results and structural advantages for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$35,616Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Allen’s strong position as the five-term Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District drives the current market consensus, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and Partisan Voter Index rating around R+7. Allen secured his primary nomination with over 83% of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith, a former Grovetown city council member and Army veteran, emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory factors such as turnout patterns or shifting voter blocs in the Augusta-to-Statesboro region. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks, aligning trader probabilities with the district’s historical results and structural advantages for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$35,616Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Allen’s strong position as the five-term Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District drives the current market consensus, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and Partisan Voter Index rating around R+7. Allen secured his primary nomination with over 83% of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith, a former Grovetown city council member and Army veteran, emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory factors such as turnout patterns or shifting voter blocs in the Augusta-to-Statesboro region. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks, aligning trader probabilities with the district’s historical results and structural advantages for the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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