The high trader consensus against abolition before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of any legislative momentum or broad institutional support for repealing the Federal Reserve Act in the narrow remaining window. Companion bills introduced in the 119th Congress remain stalled in committee with limited cosponsors and no floor action, while current leadership under Chair Kevin Warsh focuses on incremental reforms such as adjusted meeting schedules and internal task forces rather than structural elimination. Enacting such a change would require passage through both chambers, presidential approval, and a one-year wind-down process, all amid divided priorities and concerns over monetary stability. Remote scenarios that could still shift odds include a major financial crisis prompting emergency congressional intervention or a post-midterm realignment enabling rapid procedural changes, though both face steep constitutional and practical barriers.