Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president, with Republican majorities in Congress and no active impeachment proceedings or 25th Amendment process underway. A recent House effort to impeach him over immigration enforcement was tabled on September 15 after Democrats split their votes, leaving no realistic path to removal or conviction before September 30. Trump continues signing executive orders on trade, visas, and other matters while preparing for UN General Assembly meetings, consistent with an 80-year-old incumbent serving a term extending to 2029. The nine-day timeline precludes Senate trials, special sessions, or other formal steps. Remote contingencies such as sudden incapacitation or unforeseen legal rulings could theoretically intervene but lack supporting developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
<1% вероятность
$1,335,245 Объем
$1,335,245 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Да
<1% вероятность
$1,335,245 Объем
$1,335,245 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president, with Republican majorities in Congress and no active impeachment proceedings or 25th Amendment process underway. A recent House effort to impeach him over immigration enforcement was tabled on September 15 after Democrats split their votes, leaving no realistic path to removal or conviction before September 30. Trump continues signing executive orders on trade, visas, and other matters while preparing for UN General Assembly meetings, consistent with an 80-year-old incumbent serving a term extending to 2029. The nine-day timeline precludes Senate trials, special sessions, or other formal steps. Remote contingencies such as sudden incapacitation or unforeseen legal rulings could theoretically intervene but lack supporting developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Объем
$1,335,245Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president, with Republican majorities in Congress and no active impeachment proceedings or 25th Amendment process underway. A recent House effort to impeach him over immigration enforcement was tabled on September 15 after Democrats split their votes, leaving no realistic path to removal or conviction before September 30. Trump continues signing executive orders on trade, visas, and other matters while preparing for UN General Assembly meetings, consistent with an 80-year-old incumbent serving a term extending to 2029. The nine-day timeline precludes Senate trials, special sessions, or other formal steps. Remote contingencies such as sudden incapacitation or unforeseen legal rulings could theoretically intervene but lack supporting developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,335,245Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president, with Republican majorities in Congress and no active impeachment proceedings or 25th Amendment process underway. A recent House effort to impeach him over immigration enforcement was tabled on September 15 after Democrats split their votes, leaving no realistic path to removal or conviction before September 30. Trump continues signing executive orders on trade, visas, and other matters while preparing for UN General Assembly meetings, consistent with an 80-year-old incumbent serving a term extending to 2029. The nine-day timeline precludes Senate trials, special sessions, or other formal steps. Remote contingencies such as sudden incapacitation or unforeseen legal rulings could theoretically intervene but lack supporting developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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