Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces conspiracy to import cocaine and firearms charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial timeline extending into 2027. In early September 2026, her attorneys filed a motion for release to highly restrictive home confinement in Manhattan, citing her 69-year-old health decline including a possible minor heart attack, significant weight loss, and untreated mitral valve prolapse. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has not ruled while sealing related medical records. Trader assessments hinge on the pace of this bail litigation, any diplomatic or immunity motions, and standard federal detention factors in high-profile narco-trafficking cases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЖена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?
Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?
$1,377,966 Объем
30 янв. 2026 г.
31 декабря
21%
$1,377,966 Объем
31 декабря
$331,365 Объем
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces conspiracy to import cocaine and firearms charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial timeline extending into 2027. In early September 2026, her attorneys filed a motion for release to highly restrictive home confinement in Manhattan, citing her 69-year-old health decline including a possible minor heart attack, significant weight loss, and untreated mitral valve prolapse. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has not ruled while sealing related medical records. Trader assessments hinge on the pace of this bail litigation, any diplomatic or immunity motions, and standard federal detention factors in high-profile narco-trafficking cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Объем
$1,377,966Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces conspiracy to import cocaine and firearms charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial timeline extending into 2027. In early September 2026, her attorneys filed a motion for release to highly restrictive home confinement in Manhattan, citing her 69-year-old health decline including a possible minor heart attack, significant weight loss, and untreated mitral valve prolapse. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has not ruled while sealing related medical records. Trader assessments hinge on the pace of this bail litigation, any diplomatic or immunity motions, and standard federal detention factors in high-profile narco-trafficking cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,377,966Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces conspiracy to import cocaine and firearms charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial timeline extending into 2027. In early September 2026, her attorneys filed a motion for release to highly restrictive home confinement in Manhattan, citing her 69-year-old health decline including a possible minor heart attack, significant weight loss, and untreated mitral valve prolapse. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has not ruled while sealing related medical records. Trader assessments hinge on the pace of this bail litigation, any diplomatic or immunity motions, and standard federal detention factors in high-profile narco-trafficking cases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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