The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025 and effective for 2026 tax years, faces repeal efforts through bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act and FAIR BET Act. The House Ways and Means Committee advanced related language on September 16, 2026, as part of the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act by a 38-5 vote, marking the first procedural progress after earlier bills stalled in committee. However, the full House is unlikely to consider the measure before the November midterms, leaving limited time for Senate passage and presidential signature before the December 31, 2026, deadline. Traders price the "No" outcome at 79% due to these scheduling constraints, competing legislative priorities, and the absence of a confirmed floor vote or reconciliation vehicle, despite the revenue impact remaining modest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
22% вероятность
$72,301 Объем
$72,301 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
22% вероятность
$72,301 Объем
$72,301 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025 and effective for 2026 tax years, faces repeal efforts through bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act and FAIR BET Act. The House Ways and Means Committee advanced related language on September 16, 2026, as part of the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act by a 38-5 vote, marking the first procedural progress after earlier bills stalled in committee. However, the full House is unlikely to consider the measure before the November midterms, leaving limited time for Senate passage and presidential signature before the December 31, 2026, deadline. Traders price the "No" outcome at 79% due to these scheduling constraints, competing legislative priorities, and the absence of a confirmed floor vote or reconciliation vehicle, despite the revenue impact remaining modest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$72,301Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025 and effective for 2026 tax years, faces repeal efforts through bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act and FAIR BET Act. The House Ways and Means Committee advanced related language on September 16, 2026, as part of the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act by a 38-5 vote, marking the first procedural progress after earlier bills stalled in committee. However, the full House is unlikely to consider the measure before the November midterms, leaving limited time for Senate passage and presidential signature before the December 31, 2026, deadline. Traders price the "No" outcome at 79% due to these scheduling constraints, competing legislative priorities, and the absence of a confirmed floor vote or reconciliation vehicle, despite the revenue impact remaining modest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$72,301Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025 and effective for 2026 tax years, faces repeal efforts through bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act and FAIR BET Act. The House Ways and Means Committee advanced related language on September 16, 2026, as part of the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act by a 38-5 vote, marking the first procedural progress after earlier bills stalled in committee. However, the full House is unlikely to consider the measure before the November midterms, leaving limited time for Senate passage and presidential signature before the December 31, 2026, deadline. Traders price the "No" outcome at 79% due to these scheduling constraints, competing legislative priorities, and the absence of a confirmed floor vote or reconciliation vehicle, despite the revenue impact remaining modest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы