Die Linke secured its strongest-ever result in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election, with preliminary counts and exit polls placing its vote share at approximately 25.7 percent—well above the 23 percent threshold. This outcome reflects strong voter support for the party's focus on housing affordability, rent controls, and implementation of the 2021 referendum on expropriating large landlords, alongside gains from the CDU's losses and the SPD's historic decline. Traders assign 99.4 percent probability to the 23 percent+ bracket based on consistent projections across multiple institutes and the ongoing vote tally. Late adjustments from final certification, disputed ballots, or minor counting discrepancies represent the primary scenarios that could still alter resolution, though current margins make shifts below 23 percent improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено23%+ 99.4%
20-23% <1%
17-20% <1%
<17% <1%
$95,309 Объем
$95,309 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<17%
<1%
17-20%
<1%
20-23%
<1%
23%+
99%
23%+ 99.4%
20-23% <1%
17-20% <1%
<17% <1%
$95,309 Объем
$95,309 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<17%
$16,605 Объем
<1%
17-20%
$23,203 Объем
<1%
20-23%
$22,048 Объем
<1%
23%+
$33,453 Объем
99%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Die Linke secured its strongest-ever result in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election, with preliminary counts and exit polls placing its vote share at approximately 25.7 percent—well above the 23 percent threshold. This outcome reflects strong voter support for the party's focus on housing affordability, rent controls, and implementation of the 2021 referendum on expropriating large landlords, alongside gains from the CDU's losses and the SPD's historic decline. Traders assign 99.4 percent probability to the 23 percent+ bracket based on consistent projections across multiple institutes and the ongoing vote tally. Late adjustments from final certification, disputed ballots, or minor counting discrepancies represent the primary scenarios that could still alter resolution, though current margins make shifts below 23 percent improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Объем
$95,309Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Die Linke secured its strongest-ever result in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election, with preliminary counts and exit polls placing its vote share at approximately 25.7 percent—well above the 23 percent threshold. This outcome reflects strong voter support for the party's focus on housing affordability, rent controls, and implementation of the 2021 referendum on expropriating large landlords, alongside gains from the CDU's losses and the SPD's historic decline. Traders assign 99.4 percent probability to the 23 percent+ bracket based on consistent projections across multiple institutes and the ongoing vote tally. Late adjustments from final certification, disputed ballots, or minor counting discrepancies represent the primary scenarios that could still alter resolution, though current margins make shifts below 23 percent improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Объем
$95,309Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Die Linke secured its strongest-ever result in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election, with preliminary counts and exit polls placing its vote share at approximately 25.7 percent—well above the 23 percent threshold. This outcome reflects strong voter support for the party's focus on housing affordability, rent controls, and implementation of the 2021 referendum on expropriating large landlords, alongside gains from the CDU's losses and the SPD's historic decline. Traders assign 99.4 percent probability to the 23 percent+ bracket based on consistent projections across multiple institutes and the ongoing vote tally. Late adjustments from final certification, disputed ballots, or minor counting discrepancies represent the primary scenarios that could still alter resolution, though current margins make shifts below 23 percent improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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