Republican incumbent Nick Begich III holds a strong position in Alaska’s at-large House race following the August 18 top-four primary, where he captured 44.6% to independent Bill Hill’s 32.5%, with Democratic candidates trailing far behind before several withdrawals. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan lean and Begich’s 2024 victory. Recent polls show Begich ahead of Hill by double digits in head-to-head matchups under ranked-choice voting, supported by his incumbency, fundraising edge, and Trump endorsement. The absence of a viable Democratic contender after the primary has kept Democratic odds low, while trader consensus reflects limited signs of momentum shifts for Hill in the final weeks before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Дом AK-AL
Победитель выборов в Дом AK-AL
$41,405 Объем
$41,405 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
79%
Демократическая партия
7%
$41,405 Объем
$41,405 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$11,005 Объем
79%
Демократическая партия
$30,400 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick Begich III holds a strong position in Alaska’s at-large House race following the August 18 top-four primary, where he captured 44.6% to independent Bill Hill’s 32.5%, with Democratic candidates trailing far behind before several withdrawals. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan lean and Begich’s 2024 victory. Recent polls show Begich ahead of Hill by double digits in head-to-head matchups under ranked-choice voting, supported by his incumbency, fundraising edge, and Trump endorsement. The absence of a viable Democratic contender after the primary has kept Democratic odds low, while trader consensus reflects limited signs of momentum shifts for Hill in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Объем
$41,405Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick Begich III holds a strong position in Alaska’s at-large House race following the August 18 top-four primary, where he captured 44.6% to independent Bill Hill’s 32.5%, with Democratic candidates trailing far behind before several withdrawals. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan lean and Begich’s 2024 victory. Recent polls show Begich ahead of Hill by double digits in head-to-head matchups under ranked-choice voting, supported by his incumbency, fundraising edge, and Trump endorsement. The absence of a viable Democratic contender after the primary has kept Democratic odds low, while trader consensus reflects limited signs of momentum shifts for Hill in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$41,405Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nick Begich III holds a strong position in Alaska’s at-large House race following the August 18 top-four primary, where he captured 44.6% to independent Bill Hill’s 32.5%, with Democratic candidates trailing far behind before several withdrawals. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan lean and Begich’s 2024 victory. Recent polls show Begich ahead of Hill by double digits in head-to-head matchups under ranked-choice voting, supported by his incumbency, fundraising edge, and Trump endorsement. The absence of a viable Democratic contender after the primary has kept Democratic odds low, while trader consensus reflects limited signs of momentum shifts for Hill in the final weeks before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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