Democrats hold a 59% implied probability of winning all four core Senate races in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine on November 3. Recent polling averages show competitive contests across these battlegrounds, with Democratic nominees like Jon Ossoff in Georgia and Roy Cooper in North Carolina maintaining narrow leads or parity against Republican opponents amid an even national environment. Michigan’s open seat and Maine’s matchup with Susan Collins remain toss-ups where small shifts in turnout or candidate consolidation could decide outcomes. Handicappers have adjusted several of these races toward Democrats in recent months based on candidate recruitment and early fundraising data, though the requirement to win every seat simultaneously keeps the sweep probability below even money. Traders appear to weigh these polling trends and structural factors in pricing the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs democratas vencerão todas as quatro principais disputas do Senado?
Os democratas vencerão todas as quatro principais disputas do Senado?
Sim
59% chance
$22,202 Vol.
$22,202 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Sim
59% chance
$22,202 Vol.
$22,202 Vol.
2 nov 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Democrats hold a 59% implied probability of winning all four core Senate races in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine on November 3. Recent polling averages show competitive contests across these battlegrounds, with Democratic nominees like Jon Ossoff in Georgia and Roy Cooper in North Carolina maintaining narrow leads or parity against Republican opponents amid an even national environment. Michigan’s open seat and Maine’s matchup with Susan Collins remain toss-ups where small shifts in turnout or candidate consolidation could decide outcomes. Handicappers have adjusted several of these races toward Democrats in recent months based on candidate recruitment and early fundraising data, though the requirement to win every seat simultaneously keeps the sweep probability below even money. Traders appear to weigh these polling trends and structural factors in pricing the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$22,202Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Democrats hold a 59% implied probability of winning all four core Senate races in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine on November 3. Recent polling averages show competitive contests across these battlegrounds, with Democratic nominees like Jon Ossoff in Georgia and Roy Cooper in North Carolina maintaining narrow leads or parity against Republican opponents amid an even national environment. Michigan’s open seat and Maine’s matchup with Susan Collins remain toss-ups where small shifts in turnout or candidate consolidation could decide outcomes. Handicappers have adjusted several of these races toward Democrats in recent months based on candidate recruitment and early fundraising data, though the requirement to win every seat simultaneously keeps the sweep probability below even money. Traders appear to weigh these polling trends and structural factors in pricing the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volume
$22,202Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats hold a 59% implied probability of winning all four core Senate races in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine on November 3. Recent polling averages show competitive contests across these battlegrounds, with Democratic nominees like Jon Ossoff in Georgia and Roy Cooper in North Carolina maintaining narrow leads or parity against Republican opponents amid an even national environment. Michigan’s open seat and Maine’s matchup with Susan Collins remain toss-ups where small shifts in turnout or candidate consolidation could decide outcomes. Handicappers have adjusted several of these races toward Democrats in recent months based on candidate recruitment and early fundraising data, though the requirement to win every seat simultaneously keeps the sweep probability below even money. Traders appear to weigh these polling trends and structural factors in pricing the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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