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icon for Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?

Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?

icon for Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?

Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?

$393,246 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$393,246 Vol.

Polymarket

México

$3,118 Vol.

27%

Coreia do Sul

$60,555 Vol.

14%

Indonésia

$19,621 Vol.

14%

Israel

$572 Vol.

14%

Taiwan

$34,264 Vol.

12%

Índia

$70,846 Vol.

12%

Reino Unido

$592 Vol.

12%

África do Sul

$559 Vol.

11%

Canadá

$22,822 Vol.

11%

Rússia

$2,348 Vol.

10%

Argentina

$22,669 Vol.

10%

Austrália

$6,287 Vol.

10%

Paquistão

$105,703 Vol.

10%

União Europeia

$13,365 Vol.

7%

Brasil

$4,819 Vol.

6%

Vietnã

$7,326 Vol.

6%

Japão

$17,780 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's tariff threats and reciprocal trade framework have driven a series of bilateral Agreements on Reciprocal Trade since early 2025, pressuring partners to lower barriers on U.S. exports in exchange for moderated U.S. duties. Recent signings include Jordan in July 2026, Ecuador and Taiwan earlier in the year, Indonesia, and frameworks with Thailand, Vietnam, India, and North Macedonia. Deals with the EU took effect in July 2026, while China agreements from late 2025 addressed soybeans, rare earths, and tariffs. Ongoing USMCA review talks with Mexico and Canada, plus potential finalization with South Korea and others, remain active through late 2026. These negotiations center on agriculture, critical minerals, supply chains, and deficit reduction, with trader focus on which additional countries clear full agreements before the 2027 deadline amid continued bilateral pressure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$393,246
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's tariff threats and reciprocal trade framework have driven a series of bilateral Agreements on Reciprocal Trade since early 2025, pressuring partners to lower barriers on U.S. exports in exchange for moderated U.S. duties. Recent signings include Jordan in July 2026, Ecuador and Taiwan earlier in the year, Indonesia, and frameworks with Thailand, Vietnam, India, and North Macedonia. Deals with the EU took effect in July 2026, while China agreements from late 2025 addressed soybeans, rare earths, and tariffs. Ongoing USMCA review talks with Mexico and Canada, plus potential finalization with South Korea and others, remain active through late 2026. These negotiations center on agriculture, critical minerals, supply chains, and deficit reduction, with trader focus on which additional countries clear full agreements before the 2027 deadline amid continued bilateral pressure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$393,246
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "México" at 27%, followed by "Coreia do Sul" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" has generated $393.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" is "México" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Coreia do Sul" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.