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icon for Combinação de paz Rússia x Ucrânia
Desporto·Paz

Combinação de paz Rússia x Ucrânia

icon for Combinação de paz Rússia x Ucrânia
Desporto·Paz

Combinação de paz Rússia x Ucrânia

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$618,088 Vol.

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$618,088 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRecent developments in the Russia-Ukraine matchup show persistent defensive stands from both sides, with no roster adjustments or concessions shifting the competitive balance enough for a full ceasefire-plus-neutrality-plus-treaty resolution by year-end. US envoys' recent shuttle diplomacy revived trilateral negotiation prospects in September, yet Russia continues rejecting air truces while holding firm on territorial demands, and Ukraine maintains its stance against ceding ground or NATO options. Ongoing battlefield form favors attrition over quick breakthroughs, with intensified strikes underscoring limited momentum toward the required combo. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing highlights these entrenched matchup dynamics and historical patterns of stalled talks, leaving realistic upset potential low absent major form shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfThis market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$618,088
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRecent developments in the Russia-Ukraine matchup show persistent defensive stands from both sides, with no roster adjustments or concessions shifting the competitive balance enough for a full ceasefire-plus-neutrality-plus-treaty resolution by year-end. US envoys' recent shuttle diplomacy revived trilateral negotiation prospects in September, yet Russia continues rejecting air truces while holding firm on territorial demands, and Ukraine maintains its stance against ceding ground or NATO options. Ongoing battlefield form favors attrition over quick breakthroughs, with intensified strikes underscoring limited momentum toward the required combo. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing highlights these entrenched matchup dynamics and historical patterns of stalled talks, leaving realistic upset potential low absent major form shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfThis market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$618,088
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Combinação de paz Rússia x Ucrânia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rússia x Ucrânia Combo de Paz" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Combinação de paz Rússia x Ucrânia" has generated $618.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Combinação de paz Rússia x Ucrânia," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Combinação de paz Rússia x Ucrânia" is "Rússia x Ucrânia Combo de Paz" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Combinação de paz Rússia x Ucrânia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.