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icon for A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?
Tecnologia·Llm

A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?

icon for A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?
Tecnologia·Llm

A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?

Sim

24% chance
Polymarket

$218,468 Vol.

Sim

24% chance
Polymarket

$218,468 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra launch in early September 2026 has fueled executive commentary framing the model as a potential AGI milestone, with President Greg Brockman stating "Welcome to the AGI era" and personally believing the company is "there," echoed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declaring AGI arrived. Yet trader sentiment heavily favors no formal OpenAI announcement of achieved AGI before 2027, at 76.5% implied probability, because CEO Sam Altman has repeatedly called the term poorly defined or a marketing label, the company’s internal AGI definition emphasizes broad economic impact and autonomous systems outperforming humans at most valuable work, and no official declaration has followed Astra’s rollout despite strong benchmark results like near-perfect ARC-AGI-3 scores. With only months left in 2026 and OpenAI prioritizing cautious alignment messaging after prior safety pauses, the market reflects skepticism that hype will translate into a definitive public claim meeting resolution criteria before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$218,468
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 28, 2025, 11:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra launch in early September 2026 has fueled executive commentary framing the model as a potential AGI milestone, with President Greg Brockman stating "Welcome to the AGI era" and personally believing the company is "there," echoed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declaring AGI arrived. Yet trader sentiment heavily favors no formal OpenAI announcement of achieved AGI before 2027, at 76.5% implied probability, because CEO Sam Altman has repeatedly called the term poorly defined or a marketing label, the company’s internal AGI definition emphasizes broad economic impact and autonomous systems outperforming humans at most valuable work, and no official declaration has followed Astra’s rollout despite strong benchmark results like near-perfect ARC-AGI-3 scores. With only months left in 2026 and OpenAI prioritizing cautious alignment messaging after prior safety pauses, the market reflects skepticism that hype will translate into a definitive public claim meeting resolution criteria before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$218,468
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 28, 2025, 11:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a AGI antes de 2027?" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?" has generated $218.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?" is "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a AGI antes de 2027?" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A OpenAI anuncia que alcançou a agi antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.