Harriet Hageman’s commanding position in the Wyoming Senate race stems from the state’s deep Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump’s 45-point 2024 margin and consistent GOP dominance in statewide contests. As the endorsed successor to retiring Senator Cynthia Lummis, Hageman secured the nomination with nearly 65% in the August primary against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear favorite heading into November. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative who won his primary handily, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Wyoming
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Wyoming
$16,782 Vol.
$16,782 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,782 Vol.
$16,782 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,127 Vol.
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman’s commanding position in the Wyoming Senate race stems from the state’s deep Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump’s 45-point 2024 margin and consistent GOP dominance in statewide contests. As the endorsed successor to retiring Senator Cynthia Lummis, Hageman secured the nomination with nearly 65% in the August primary against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear favorite heading into November. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative who won his primary handily, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$16,782Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman’s commanding position in the Wyoming Senate race stems from the state’s deep Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump’s 45-point 2024 margin and consistent GOP dominance in statewide contests. As the endorsed successor to retiring Senator Cynthia Lummis, Hageman secured the nomination with nearly 65% in the August primary against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear favorite heading into November. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative who won his primary handily, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,782Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harriet Hageman’s commanding position in the Wyoming Senate race stems from the state’s deep Republican lean, reinforced by Donald Trump’s 45-point 2024 margin and consistent GOP dominance in statewide contests. As the endorsed successor to retiring Senator Cynthia Lummis, Hageman secured the nomination with nearly 65% in the August primary against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear favorite heading into November. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative who won his primary handily, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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