**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through mid-to-late September, aligning with the historical rarity of the feat and supporting the 61.5% implied probability on “No.”** Only 21 players have ever hit four home runs in a single MLB game, a mark achieved just once or twice per decade on average and less frequently than perfect games. The most recent instance was Kyle Schwarber’s performance for the Phillies on August 28, 2025; 2025 itself was an outlier with three such games (also Eugenio Suárez and rookie Nick Kurtz), the first season with multiples since 2002. No player has repeated the accomplishment, and it typically requires an outlier power display, multiple extra plate appearances in a high-scoring contest, and favorable pitching matchups. With the 2026 regular season nearing its conclusion and no such outburst recorded to date, the remaining schedule offers limited opportunities. Playoff games add further constraints due to shorter series and stronger pitching. Trader consensus on “No” therefore reflects both the established scarcity—rooted in the low probability of four long balls in one outing even for elite sluggers—and the absence of any 2026 developments suggesting an imminent occurrence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado41% chance
NOVO
NOVO
11 out 2026
41% chance
NOVO
NOVO
11 out 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through mid-to-late September, aligning with the historical rarity of the feat and supporting the 61.5% implied probability on “No.”**
Only 21 players have ever hit four home runs in a single MLB game, a mark achieved just once or twice per decade on average and less frequently than perfect games. The most recent instance was Kyle Schwarber’s performance for the Phillies on August 28, 2025; 2025 itself was an outlier with three such games (also Eugenio Suárez and rookie Nick Kurtz), the first season with multiples since 2002. No player has repeated the accomplishment, and it typically requires an outlier power display, multiple extra plate appearances in a high-scoring contest, and favorable pitching matchups.
With the 2026 regular season nearing its conclusion and no such outburst recorded to date, the remaining schedule offers limited opportunities. Playoff games add further constraints due to shorter series and stronger pitching. Trader consensus on “No” therefore reflects both the established scarcity—rooted in the low probability of four long balls in one outing even for elite sluggers—and the absence of any 2026 developments suggesting an imminent occurrence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volume
$7,348Data de Término
12 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through mid-to-late September, aligning with the historical rarity of the feat and supporting the 61.5% implied probability on “No.”**
Only 21 players have ever hit four home runs in a single MLB game, a mark achieved just once or twice per decade on average and less frequently than perfect games. The most recent instance was Kyle Schwarber’s performance for the Phillies on August 28, 2025; 2025 itself was an outlier with three such games (also Eugenio Suárez and rookie Nick Kurtz), the first season with multiples since 2002. No player has repeated the accomplishment, and it typically requires an outlier power display, multiple extra plate appearances in a high-scoring contest, and favorable pitching matchups.
With the 2026 regular season nearing its conclusion and no such outburst recorded to date, the remaining schedule offers limited opportunities. Playoff games add further constraints due to shorter series and stronger pitching. Trader consensus on “No” therefore reflects both the established scarcity—rooted in the low probability of four long balls in one outing even for elite sluggers—and the absence of any 2026 developments suggesting an imminent occurrence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data de Término
12 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through mid-to-late September, aligning with the historical rarity of the feat and supporting the 61.5% implied probability on “No.”** Only 21 players have ever hit four home runs in a single MLB game, a mark achieved just once or twice per decade on average and less frequently than perfect games. The most recent instance was Kyle Schwarber’s performance for the Phillies on August 28, 2025; 2025 itself was an outlier with three such games (also Eugenio Suárez and rookie Nick Kurtz), the first season with multiples since 2002. No player has repeated the accomplishment, and it typically requires an outlier power display, multiple extra plate appearances in a high-scoring contest, and favorable pitching matchups. With the 2026 regular season nearing its conclusion and no such outburst recorded to date, the remaining schedule offers limited opportunities. Playoff games add further constraints due to shorter series and stronger pitching. Trader consensus on “No” therefore reflects both the established scarcity—rooted in the low probability of four long balls in one outing even for elite sluggers—and the absence of any 2026 developments suggesting an imminent occurrence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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