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icon for JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?

JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?

icon for JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?

JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?

$242,048 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$242,048 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$150,740 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Vice President JD Vance remains firmly positioned in his role, with no recent developments indicating an imminent departure ahead of the November 2026 midterms or beyond.** At the Republican midterm convention in Dallas on September 10-11, Vance delivered a high-profile keynote speech that drew chants of “48,” signaling broad party recognition of him as the leading contender for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. Recent polls, including those from Financial Times/Focaldata and Harvard CAPS/Harris, show him leading potential rivals such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio by double-digit margins. President Trump has privately expressed support for Vance as his political heir, while publicly praising his performance on issues like anti-fraud efforts. Vance continues to campaign aggressively for Republican candidates and manage administration priorities, with his post-midterm decision on a 2028 bid serving as the next key political milestone rather than any exit from the vice presidency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,048
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Vice President JD Vance remains firmly positioned in his role, with no recent developments indicating an imminent departure ahead of the November 2026 midterms or beyond.** At the Republican midterm convention in Dallas on September 10-11, Vance delivered a high-profile keynote speech that drew chants of “48,” signaling broad party recognition of him as the leading contender for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. Recent polls, including those from Financial Times/Focaldata and Harvard CAPS/Harris, show him leading potential rivals such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio by double-digit margins. President Trump has privately expressed support for Vance as his political heir, while publicly praising his performance on issues like anti-fraud efforts. Vance continues to campaign aggressively for Republican candidates and manage administration priorities, with his post-midterm decision on a 2028 bid serving as the next key political milestone rather than any exit from the vice presidency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,048
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 6%, followed by "15 de junho" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?" has generated $242K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at just 6%, with "15 de junho" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.