The Socialist Party's July 2026 internal vote, in which members rejected participation in the broader process by a 55.5% margin in favor of a closed primary limited to its own ranks and allied social-democratic groups, has driven the dominant trader consensus for cancellation. This decision followed earlier refusals by La France Insoumise and Place Publique, withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, and public statements from Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin acknowledging the initiative's collapse after the municipal elections. With only a narrow set of smaller movements remaining, the conditions for official cancellation under market rules appear met. Late reversals could still occur through renewed negotiations among the Ecologists, Debout! and the Breton Democratic Union, though no such developments have materialized in recent weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCancelada 92.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$223,406 Vol.
$223,406 Vol.
10 out 2026
Cancelada
92%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Cancelada 92.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$223,406 Vol.
$223,406 Vol.
10 out 2026
Cancelada
$87,693 Vol.
92%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 internal vote, in which members rejected participation in the broader process by a 55.5% margin in favor of a closed primary limited to its own ranks and allied social-democratic groups, has driven the dominant trader consensus for cancellation. This decision followed earlier refusals by La France Insoumise and Place Publique, withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, and public statements from Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin acknowledging the initiative's collapse after the municipal elections. With only a narrow set of smaller movements remaining, the conditions for official cancellation under market rules appear met. Late reversals could still occur through renewed negotiations among the Ecologists, Debout! and the Breton Democratic Union, though no such developments have materialized in recent weeks.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$223,406Data de Término
11 out 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 internal vote, in which members rejected participation in the broader process by a 55.5% margin in favor of a closed primary limited to its own ranks and allied social-democratic groups, has driven the dominant trader consensus for cancellation. This decision followed earlier refusals by La France Insoumise and Place Publique, withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, and public statements from Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin acknowledging the initiative's collapse after the municipal elections. With only a narrow set of smaller movements remaining, the conditions for official cancellation under market rules appear met. Late reversals could still occur through renewed negotiations among the Ecologists, Debout! and the Breton Democratic Union, though no such developments have materialized in recent weeks.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$223,406Data de Término
11 out 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 internal vote, in which members rejected participation in the broader process by a 55.5% margin in favor of a closed primary limited to its own ranks and allied social-democratic groups, has driven the dominant trader consensus for cancellation. This decision followed earlier refusals by La France Insoumise and Place Publique, withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, and public statements from Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin acknowledging the initiative's collapse after the municipal elections. With only a narrow set of smaller movements remaining, the conditions for official cancellation under market rules appear met. Late reversals could still occur through renewed negotiations among the Ecologists, Debout! and the Breton Democratic Union, though no such developments have materialized in recent weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions