**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an 80% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Comedy Series market after dominating the Creative Arts Emmys with eight wins, including guest actress for Betty Gilpin and multiple technical categories. The Apple TV horror-comedy’s breakout spring debut, strong critical consensus, and 19 nominations—the most of any new series—have driven voter and trader momentum, especially for its inventive tone, ensemble, and direction by Hiro Murai. **Hacks**, the prior frontrunner with a record 24 nods in its final season, now sits at 19.4% as sentiment shifts toward the fresh contender. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary** and **The Bear**, trail far behind with under 2% odds each. With the ceremony days away on September 14, late guild and precursor signals reinforce the current market hierarchy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEmmys 2026: Série de comédia excepcional
Emmys 2026: Série de comédia excepcional
“Widow’s Bay” 80%
“Hacks” 19.4%
“Abbott Elementary” 1.7%
“The Bear” 1.3%
$101,516 Vol.
$101,516 Vol.
14 set 2026
“Widow’s Bay”
80%
“Hacks”
19%
“Abbott Elementary”
2%
“The Bear”
1%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
1%
"Nobody Wants This"
1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
1%
“Shrinking”
1%
“Widow’s Bay” 80%
“Hacks” 19.4%
“Abbott Elementary” 1.7%
“The Bear” 1.3%
$101,516 Vol.
$101,516 Vol.
14 set 2026
“Widow’s Bay”
$38,830 Vol.
80%
“Hacks”
$19,956 Vol.
19%
“Abbott Elementary”
$6,625 Vol.
2%
“The Bear”
$7,691 Vol.
1%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$6,638 Vol.
1%
"Nobody Wants This"
$8,448 Vol.
1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
$6,091 Vol.
1%
“Shrinking”
$7,237 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an 80% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Comedy Series market after dominating the Creative Arts Emmys with eight wins, including guest actress for Betty Gilpin and multiple technical categories. The Apple TV horror-comedy’s breakout spring debut, strong critical consensus, and 19 nominations—the most of any new series—have driven voter and trader momentum, especially for its inventive tone, ensemble, and direction by Hiro Murai. **Hacks**, the prior frontrunner with a record 24 nods in its final season, now sits at 19.4% as sentiment shifts toward the fresh contender. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary** and **The Bear**, trail far behind with under 2% odds each. With the ceremony days away on September 14, late guild and precursor signals reinforce the current market hierarchy.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$101,516Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an 80% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Comedy Series market after dominating the Creative Arts Emmys with eight wins, including guest actress for Betty Gilpin and multiple technical categories. The Apple TV horror-comedy’s breakout spring debut, strong critical consensus, and 19 nominations—the most of any new series—have driven voter and trader momentum, especially for its inventive tone, ensemble, and direction by Hiro Murai. **Hacks**, the prior frontrunner with a record 24 nods in its final season, now sits at 19.4% as sentiment shifts toward the fresh contender. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary** and **The Bear**, trail far behind with under 2% odds each. With the ceremony days away on September 14, late guild and precursor signals reinforce the current market hierarchy.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101,516Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an 80% implied probability in the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Comedy Series market after dominating the Creative Arts Emmys with eight wins, including guest actress for Betty Gilpin and multiple technical categories. The Apple TV horror-comedy’s breakout spring debut, strong critical consensus, and 19 nominations—the most of any new series—have driven voter and trader momentum, especially for its inventive tone, ensemble, and direction by Hiro Murai. **Hacks**, the prior frontrunner with a record 24 nods in its final season, now sits at 19.4% as sentiment shifts toward the fresh contender. The remaining nominees, including **Abbott Elementary** and **The Bear**, trail far behind with under 2% odds each. With the ceremony days away on September 14, late guild and precursor signals reinforce the current market hierarchy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions