Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026
Desporto·Futebol

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026
Desporto·Futebol

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Harry Kane 62.5%

Lamine Yamal 15.4%

Kylian Mbappé 10.9%

Rodri 5%

Polymarket

$34,130,414 Vol.

Harry Kane 62.5%

Lamine Yamal 15.4%

Kylian Mbappé 10.9%

Rodri 5%

Polymarket

$34,130,414 Vol.

Harry Kane

$4,077,743 Vol.

62%

Lamine Yamal

$2,205,605 Vol.

15%

Kylian Mbappé

$2,137,917 Vol.

11%

Rodri

$1,526,529 Vol.

5%

Lionel Messi

$2,455,932 Vol.

3%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,503,941 Vol.

3%

Fabian Ruiz

$1,155,120 Vol.

1%

Ousmane Dembélé

$2,211,973 Vol.

1%

Michael Olise

$1,705,971 Vol.

<1%

Erling Haaland

$1,546,555 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,278,426 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$842,808 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,069,433 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$864,656 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$711,222 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$490,016 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$740,083 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$440,734 Vol.

<1%

Pau Cubarsi

$949,675 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market as the clear trader favorite due to his record-breaking 2025/26 campaign, featuring 61 goals in 51 Bayern Munich appearances across the Bundesliga title and DFB-Pokal wins, plus six more in England’s third-place World Cup finish. This volume of scoring, combined with playmaking impact, has elevated his case beyond prior seasons despite no major international trophy. Lamine Yamal sits second after strong Barcelona contributions and membership on Spain’s World Cup-winning squad, though injuries curtailed his tournament role. Kylian Mbappé and Rodri follow on the strength of individual World Cup output and Spain’s collective success, respectively, while the rest of the field trails significantly behind these established frontrunners heading into the October ceremony.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$34,130,414
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market as the clear trader favorite due to his record-breaking 2025/26 campaign, featuring 61 goals in 51 Bayern Munich appearances across the Bundesliga title and DFB-Pokal wins, plus six more in England’s third-place World Cup finish. This volume of scoring, combined with playmaking impact, has elevated his case beyond prior seasons despite no major international trophy. Lamine Yamal sits second after strong Barcelona contributions and membership on Spain’s World Cup-winning squad, though injuries curtailed his tournament role. Kylian Mbappé and Rodri follow on the strength of individual World Cup output and Spain’s collective success, respectively, while the rest of the field trails significantly behind these established frontrunners heading into the October ceremony.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$34,130,414
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Relacionado

icon for Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

62%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

94%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

98%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harry Kane" at 62%, followed by "Lamine Yamal" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $34.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Harry Kane" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lamine Yamal" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.